tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-51948082741054518042023-11-16T03:32:20.006-08:00珍妮愛投資投資和人生一樣,就是一連串的選擇!
體會了,不止賺錢,人生將更幸福! 珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.comBlogger88125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-88871910319704217012019-02-10T02:49:00.000-08:002019-02-10T02:49:00.821-08:002019 如何正確的「設定目標」?避開 3 大錯誤,幫你擺脫窮忙與焦慮、順利達標!<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.6; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
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若要 2019 送大家一份禮物</h2>
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會是「如何正確的設定目標」</h2>
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相信有 7 成的人看到這嚴肅的主題</div>
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就想馬上轉台吧XD.. 先別急!</div>
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若你能耐心看完,並「正確地」設定目標</div>
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不旦能幫助你擺脫窮忙與焦慮</div>
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甚至在你面對人生各式難題時</div>
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能總是做出好的選擇,進而讓人生更加幸福</div>
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我之所以能悟出這個道理</div>
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要感謝我老闆 3 年多前的演講</div>
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巧合的是,那年的我正逢人生低潮</div>
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我永遠記得那年的年初</div>
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和前任的一場飯局,我問了他:「你今年的目標是什麼?」</div>
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萬萬沒想到,他突然沒耐性地回:「你管自己的目標就好,別管我的!」</div>
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事後回想當時的場景,</div>
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前任之所以會這樣回,除了擔心被逼婚之外XD</div>
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我想對多數人來說,設定目標的確是個很嚴肅的事情,也很有壓力</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">畢竟很多人每天光是要應付生活就夠累了</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">哪有時間設定目標?更不用談什麼夢想?</strong></div>
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但如果你也這麼想,那真的就掉進一個死循環裡了!</div>
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若你為了生活長時埋首工作</div>
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這份工作要是能帶給你成長也就算了</div>
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最怕花時間在罐頭式的工作</div>
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除了讓你越來越無法好好思考自己要的是什麼</div>
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更佔據了你多數的時間,無法學習新知進步</div>
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只好繼續領著死薪水當窮忙族</div>
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該如何破解這樣的死循環呢?</h3>
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學會「正確地」設定目標吧</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">有了明確的目標</span></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">自然能把跟目標毫無助益的事放掉</span></strong></div>
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譬如罐頭式的工作或渣男等等XD..</div>
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並專注在有助於完成目標的任何事</div>
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你將發現你竟能聰明伶俐地做出好幾個漂亮的選擇</div>
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還能體會到完成目標的過程從不簡單,但達到目標竟如此爽快<br />
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當然要達到上述的效果</div>
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可不是年初喊喊目標當口號,年底就有辦法收割</div>
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你必須了解如何正確地設定目標</div>
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這裡我先歸納設定目標時</h2>
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大家常常犯下的 3 大錯誤 </h2>
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1. 設定物質類的目標</h3>
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譬如想買一棟房子之類的,</div>
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乍看之下像是有為青年設下的目標。</div>
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然而,只要是物質類可取代性的目標,</div>
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往往就不是個好目標。</div>
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因為,如果不買房,也可選擇租房。</div>
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所以,買房背後的目的才是你該思考的重點</div>
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為什麼想買房?如果你想讓另一半覺得你值得信賴、可靠,</div>
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那其實你有更多做法達到這目標,買房不見得是首選。</div>
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反倒,愛面子的買房,撐起吃緊的房貸,</div>
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可能本質信賴感沒達到,最後還可能因財務吃緊面臨婚姻危機..</div>
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2. 設定金錢類的目標</h3>
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舉例來說,我想年薪 200 萬。</div>
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這目標看起來很勵志,但你可能因為這目標而迷失。</div>
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為了快速達到這個目標,</div>
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你很有可能選擇一份不是自己真正喜歡的工作。</div>
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你可能覺得當個軟體工程師最好賺就跑去,</div>
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而忽略自己真正想做的工作是什麼,</div>
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而一份工作沒有熱情支撐,很容易就半途而廢,</div>
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就算你找個高薪工作,你可能也不見得會開心,</div>
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也難展現自己最大的潛力。</div>
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我再舉一個跟投資人比較有關的例子</div>
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若在年初立下今年要在金融市場賺 100 萬為目標</div>
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這類的目標,也很容易迷失</div>
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想想看,你是否曾經為了賺取短線暴利迷失</div>
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忽略了自己的個性,或是自己適合什麼樣的操作</div>
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為了求快反而敗得更慘??</div>
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所以與其設定金錢類的目標,不如回歸本質</div>
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譬如建構一套有系統的進出場邏輯</div>
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或專精在美股領域等等都是相對好的目標。</div>
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<br style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" />3. 把慾望搞混成目標</h3>
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譬如我月底想吃一頓 3000 元起跳的大餐。</div>
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當然,吃大餐的當下你肯定超開心,</div>
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但有沒發現,吃完後好像又開始匱乏、空虛了?</div>
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這也呼應了第 1 點,把物質當目標不是個好選擇。</div>
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慾望只能達到短暫開心,卻無法像本質一般累積持續達到成就感。</div>
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而慾望常常也是目標的絆腳石,</div>
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就像如果你的目標是減重,卻常常不忌口,</div>
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當然無法成就目標。 </div>
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好的目標 應回歸「本質」</h2>
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順序為【Be → Do → Have】</h3>
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想著成為什麼 → 接著做出什麼 → 最終擁有什麼</h3>
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看完以上 3 點,相信大家應該可以發現</div>
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想設定好的目標 應回歸「本質」</div>
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只要本質定義好,並依照本質持續做,目標自然達成。</div>
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簡單流程:【Be → Do → Have】</div>
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想著成為什麼 → 接著做出什麼 → 最終擁有什麼</div>
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舉例來說,</div>
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若你想成為一個頂尖的英語Youtuber</div>
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→ 精進英語能力的實際作為 → 最後夢想成真<br />
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套用在感情上也一樣,</div>
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好多人抱怨很難遇到對的人,</div>
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但在這之前,你有想過你自己是對的人嗎XD</div>
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所以囉!若你想遇到好的另一半</div>
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→ 做出什麼讓自己更好、更有魅力 → 最後真的擁有<br />
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當然最後即便仍然沒遇到對的另一半</div>
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但我相信這過程,你肯定有了自己的目標</div>
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你的快樂早已不用依賴另一半給予</div>
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就算一個人也可以感到自在、不再匱乏</div>
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在這樣好的狀態下,你遲早會遇到對的人XD </div>
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由「內而外」的設定目標</h2>
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真的會開心很多</h2>
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如果你還不知道今年的目標是什麼</div>
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不如設定<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「比昨天的自己進步」</strong>吧</div>
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另外建議能力方面的目標</div>
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一次設立一項,較能專注喔!</div>
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最後,送大家一段話:</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「你無法預先把點點滴滴串連起來;</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">只有在未來回顧時, 你才會明白那些點點滴滴是如何串在一起的 」- Steve Jobs</strong></div>
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(you can't connect the dots look-ing forward;</div>
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you can only connect them looking backwards )</div>
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一直都很喜歡 Steve Jobs 這段話</div>
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希望大家未來回顧這幾年自己的選擇時</div>
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彷彿能扣著自己的終極目標,全部串在一起。</div>
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<img alt="" height="260" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20190107155320426.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="500" /></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">感謝大家耐性看完這篇文章</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">歡迎踴躍留言您的 2019 目標 ❤️</strong></span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-44972329936519251462019-02-07T10:05:00.000-08:002019-02-09T10:08:36.157-08:00跟著 12 位傳奇大師學投資,5 年資產翻了數十倍!關鍵在這 5 原則.. <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.6; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="348" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20190207020832840.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="669" /></div>
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如果你想快速了解某個新領域</h2>
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找個大師級的教練學習吧</h2>
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這能快速幫助你進入良好的學習狀況</div>
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並認識該領域應了解的幾個區塊</div>
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舉例來說,如果你想學習品酒</div>
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可以從書中找位葡萄酒大師學習</div>
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有了基礎的品種、產區的大架構認知後</div>
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你將擁有一定的能力,持續拓展品酒新知</div>
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甚至還能一邊喝著喝酒</div>
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一邊建立自己的酒類知識庫</div>
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套用在投資領域也一樣</div>
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跟著投資大師的方法,能幫助新手建構好的原則</div>
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《 <a href="https://www.books.com.tw/exep/assp.php/jenny0412/products/0010732561?utm_source=jenny0412&utm_medium=ap-books&utm_content=recommend&utm_campaign=ap-201902" target="_blank">跟著十二位傳奇投資大師學習賺錢鐵則</a> 》這本書</div>
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含括葛拉漢、巴菲特、費雪、彼得・林區、威廉・歐尼爾等大師</div>
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就是一本高CP的投資入門書籍</div>
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作者小泉秀希透過整理 12 位投資大師的方法並善加運用</div>
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個人投資資產在 5 年內翻了數十倍</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">礙於篇幅,無法詳述 12 位傳奇大師的投資方法</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">不過,這 12 位大師卻有不少共通的原則</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">趕緊來看看吧</strong>..</div>
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成功投資股票的 5 個原則</h2>
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原則<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"> </strong><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">① </strong> 投資戰略的大原則</h3>
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「投資損失比例遠低於獲利的股票」</h3>
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投資一定有損失的風險</div>
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對大師們來說,如果一檔股票</div>
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獲利的期望值是風險的好幾倍,就值得投資</div>
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舉例來說,假設一個標的失敗時跌幅頂多 20% 左右</div>
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但成功時的漲幅可望達到 100%</div>
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那這個標的的損失與獲利的比例就是1:5</div>
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可說是相當有利的投資標的</div>
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雖然,實際操作的虧損與獲利肯定有誤差</div>
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不過,我認為這項原則若能落實</div>
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能讓自己習慣在出手前思考「進出場點」</div>
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避免一時情緒買在股票昂貴價</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">原則 ② 價值投資的原則</strong></h3>
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「考量價值,投資上漲空間大的股票」</h3>
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關注股票的價值,是本書傳奇大師共通的特質</div>
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而「<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=31788" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">本益比</a>」為最簡易衡量一檔股票價值的指標</div>
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在本益比低的時候,買進獲利能力高的股票</div>
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就很有可能出現「下跌空間小,上漲空間大」的情況</div>
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一般來說,本益比 15 倍左右是標準水準</div>
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10 倍左右是低價水準,20 倍為最大目標水準</div>
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不過,考量有些股票成長性高</div>
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應參考成長性修正的本益比標準</div>
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<img alt="" height="292" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20190207001358835.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="500" /></div>
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(請參考<a href="https://www.books.com.tw/exep/assp.php/jenny0412/products/0010732561?utm_source=jenny0412&utm_medium=ap-books&utm_content=recommend&utm_campaign=ap-201902" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">本書P289</a> 或 延伸閱讀:<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=31788" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">看懂「本益比」,股票再也不買貴!</a>)</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">原則 </strong> ③ 辨別個股性質的原則 </h3>
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「考量成長性」</h3>
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企業的成長性,可透過定性面與定量面考量</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">定性面:</span></strong></div>
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總結費雪、巴菲特、彼得・林區觀點</div>
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可歸納以下 3 重點</div>
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✔ 具備獨特的「優勢」</div>
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✔ 營收有擴大的空間</div>
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✔ 對自己來說容易理解</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">定量面:</span></strong></div>
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總結葛拉漢、巴菲特、歐尼爾、奈夫觀點</div>
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可歸納以下 4 重點</div>
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✔ 業績成長亮眼</div>
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✔ 營業利益率 10%以上 </div>
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✔ ROE 10% 以上</div>
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✔ 自有資本比率 50% 以上</div>
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值得一提的是</div>
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歐尼爾挑選快速成長股的方法</div>
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不僅業績要成長亮眼</div>
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還必須達到過去 3 年持續 25%以上的成長</div>
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近期更加速成長至 40% 以上</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">原則 </strong> ④ 投機時機的原則</h3>
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「分批買進,避免草率的反向操作」</h3>
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反向操作是瞄準股價大幅下跌的時機投資</div>
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而順向操作則是順著股價的上升趨勢投資</div>
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本書登場的大師多採取反向操作</div>
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不過對多數投資人來說</div>
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若一次性重押,且草率的反向操作容易遭受失敗</div>
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反向投資之所以困難,是因為股價呈下跌趨勢時</div>
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景氣與業績也多半正在惡化,</div>
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投資人無法判斷惡化會持續多久</div>
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若想跟著大師們反向操作</div>
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最好能夠充理解這間公司的定性面的性質</div>
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對其將來具有信心,並判斷股價已經跌到吸引人的水準</div>
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重點是,最好能夠分批買進</div>
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至於,覺得反向操作很難的投資人</div>
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可等待股價充分止跌再行進場</div>
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具體來說,如果股價3~6個月以上沒有更新低點</div>
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就能判斷下跌趨勢可能已經結束</div>
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詳細操作內容可參考順向操作投資者歐尼爾</div>
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在底部彈升時買進的技巧</div>
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<img alt="" height="661" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20190207010234881.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="500" /></div>
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(▲整體行情的探底模式<span style="font-size: 32px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"> </span>請參考<a href="https://www.books.com.tw/exep/assp.php/jenny0412/products/0010732561?utm_source=jenny0412&utm_medium=ap-books&utm_content=recommend&utm_campaign=ap-201902" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">本書P195</a>)</div>
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原則 ⑤ 風險管理的原則</h3>
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「投資每檔股票的金額不超過總資金的20%,投資失敗儘早停損」</h3>
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彼得・林區建議分散投資 5 檔左右的股票</div>
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相當於投資每檔股票的金額上限</div>
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是自有資金的 20% 左右</div>
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舉例來說,如果手上有100萬的投資資金</div>
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可以將 20 萬當成一個單位</div>
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而每檔股票的投資上限就是 20 萬</div>
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此外,投資之後若發現業績惡化程度出乎意料</div>
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或是原本認為的公司優勢受到威脅</div>
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那麼,就必需盡快停損</div>
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最後附上 20 檔</h2>
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「低本益比」且「高成長」的股票清單</h2>
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<img alt="" height="583" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20190207014949269.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">如果想了解更多書中內容</span></strong></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.6; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">請參考《 <a href="https://www.books.com.tw/exep/assp.php/jenny0412/products/0010732561?utm_source=jenny0412&utm_medium=ap-books&utm_content=recommend&utm_campaign=ap-201902" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">跟著十二位傳奇投資大師學習賺錢鐵則 </a>》這本書</span></strong></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-47850202060946122402019-01-15T09:10:00.000-08:002019-02-09T09:10:39.480-08:00破解主力行為,賺取「營收利潤財」!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqRMMmXC31MZvA08FFGpFqld9XPK2-MffNNapPVde-HxmMV7wB0FkoZuSMxwBEjQP8gkDP5B7XsbkV-nM6PPkSPnD2VflG95INeYlZh7hyphenhyphenyrYM2tNUQYrTyG5z6HUB2AJHvW4MpEuupf8/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="846" data-original-width="1503" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqRMMmXC31MZvA08FFGpFqld9XPK2-MffNNapPVde-HxmMV7wB0FkoZuSMxwBEjQP8gkDP5B7XsbkV-nM6PPkSPnD2VflG95INeYlZh7hyphenhyphenyrYM2tNUQYrTyG5z6HUB2AJHvW4MpEuupf8/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 為何營收選股超重要?</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 營收3大策略分享</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. X檔主力押寶業績股解析</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4. Q&A</span></div>
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<br />珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-22340816547557365772018-11-27T07:04:00.000-08:002019-01-08T07:05:48.332-08:00選後「多空選股」3 攻略<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjziv_lBcZw0zJmStZxmEO7WJZtH8wvISRxj07Ecwdxt19-AsVmbHsbRMGU6cqu8qLDjcCZKpjmZ9krZuC92NnNYW-1MqKA7QUg8vEAcUJZAXDqeMOXw-yDrie3jaAsB78phJbgKz1SG0g/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1423" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjziv_lBcZw0zJmStZxmEO7WJZtH8wvISRxj07Ecwdxt19-AsVmbHsbRMGU6cqu8qLDjcCZKpjmZ9krZuC92NnNYW-1MqKA7QUg8vEAcUJZAXDqeMOXw-yDrie3jaAsB78phJbgKz1SG0g/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 選舉過後,最新盤勢解析</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 現階段選股邏輯?</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. 實戰案例解析</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4. Q&A</span></div>
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<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/O66vdsOx9go" width="560"></iframe>
珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-42304147857092624412018-10-23T06:57:00.000-07:002019-02-09T09:49:34.775-08:00台股閃崩660點後,該如何獲利?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5v5HlC_pn99dXv631XvmIkeqMeiCePyarp4G5C_ZuIUkWAO1lnIH_zq-ZvQmZU_IgMYxqfdubPktc8YPf47zI_XPfnNVAjTWUWyrJfLqY89gdVh2S2nRawzIOcdt6iRyrMFHctnxYqi0/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1423" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5v5HlC_pn99dXv631XvmIkeqMeiCePyarp4G5C_ZuIUkWAO1lnIH_zq-ZvQmZU_IgMYxqfdubPktc8YPf47zI_XPfnNVAjTWUWyrJfLqY89gdVh2S2nRawzIOcdt6iRyrMFHctnxYqi0/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 閃崩過後,最新盤勢解析</span></div>
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<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 現階段如何選股?</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. 個股操作 3 要點</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4. Q&A</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-65437306776362424712018-09-04T06:51:00.000-07:002019-01-08T06:51:44.686-08:00看懂個股健診表,速判股票該買還是賣! <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCMW-5scwcXjg93HpG8_dIcGOcBRAHqwrQXFMJ889iO1Kd5rJIuWzJ7of8PY9edNtUmV4cQCaoK9xBeTZ100P035WxdHgx6PMLQHSnsUeSzd_ehX6IYO10D5wfdUrpgzPBCvAGPHSbT3k/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1423" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCMW-5scwcXjg93HpG8_dIcGOcBRAHqwrQXFMJ889iO1Kd5rJIuWzJ7of8PY9edNtUmV4cQCaoK9xBeTZ100P035WxdHgx6PMLQHSnsUeSzd_ehX6IYO10D5wfdUrpgzPBCvAGPHSbT3k/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 近期盤勢解析</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 個股體檢表如何看?</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. 8月營收可能亮眼股解析</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-91445515108529352952018-07-31T06:43:00.000-07:002019-01-08T06:43:58.463-08:00個股事件獲利法<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 近期盤勢重點解析</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 個股事件獲利法</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. 7月營收可能亮眼股解析</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-20665739803290289892018-07-28T00:01:00.000-07:002018-07-28T00:01:17.598-07:00實施庫藏股 股票一定漲? 那可未必!4 關鍵 複製 上緯投控(3708) 115% 大行情!<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724180719940.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 珍妮拍攝 )</div>
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<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2327?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">國巨(2327)</a> 為了反擊空軍</h2>
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上週三(7/18) 宣布實施庫藏股</h2>
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預計買回 4,500 張庫藏股</div>
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上週珍妮特別發表<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=130383" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">專文</a>討論這事件</div>
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然而,不少投資朋友進一步問到</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「操作實施庫藏股的股票,有利潤嗎?」</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「實施庫藏股的分點要怎麼抓出呢?」</strong></div>
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針對這類庫藏股操作面問題</div>
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今天再分享一篇庫藏股教學文,內容包含:</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 實施庫藏股,股價一定漲嗎?</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 想跟庫藏股單,留意 4 大關鍵</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 如何快速抓出公司派實施庫藏股的分點?</strong></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 繼續看下去... )</span></div>
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實施庫藏股 股票一定漲?</h2>
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那可未必,直接來看案例 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6456?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">GIS-KY(6456)</a></h3>
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今年1/29 GIS-KY(6456) 決議實施庫藏股</div>
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預計買回 3,000 張</div>
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雖然交叉比對可得知公司派的確有買股(後面會教)</div>
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但執行比率不算太高,僅 50%</div>
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再加上股價落在季線之下且主力大賣</div>
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在整體趨勢偏空下,公司派單一分點的買盤</div>
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仍無法挽救股價頹勢,</div>
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執行庫藏期間,股價跌幅 19.04% </div>
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<img alt="" height="500" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724150420826.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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當然,也是有成功案例</h3>
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<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3708?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">上緯投控(3708)</a> 實施庫藏期間 大漲 115%</h3>
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上緯投控(3708) 執行庫藏股的分點(後面會教)</div>
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在 2/6~3/23 就買了近 500 張</div>
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當時,庫藏執行率就已接近 50%</div>
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帶動股價突破下降壓力線</div>
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緊接著,主力接手連買</div>
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在整體大趨勢偏多下</div>
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展開 115.01% 的大行情 </div>
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<img alt="" height="496" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724154241797.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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若想複製這樣的庫藏股行情</h2>
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投資朋友該注意些什麼呢?</h2>
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1. 確認股票大趨勢偏多</h3>
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最簡單確認大趨勢偏多的方式</div>
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就是<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">確認股價站穩季線之上</strong></div>
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當然,如果主力也同步站在買方</div>
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更有利於庫藏期間 股價上攻</div>
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2. 確認公司並非口水護盤</h3>
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交叉比對確認公司派執行庫藏分點(後面會教)</div>
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若實施庫藏期間</div>
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的確看見執行庫藏分點的明顯買盤</div>
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代表公司派「真心」想護盤</div>
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那麼,跟單勝率就相對高</div>
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3. 確認實施庫藏的區間最低(高)價</h3>
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公司實施庫藏股</div>
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除了會宣布預計買多少張之外</div>
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也會公告買回區間最低價及最高價分別是多少</div>
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投資朋友若要賺取庫藏利潤</div>
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布局價位應盡量接近【買回區間最低價】</div>
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以 上緯(3708) 為例,</div>
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雖公司宣告庫藏買回區間最低價及最高價</div>
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分別為 64元 及 126 元</div>
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但公司派主要的買盤主要集中於買回區間最低價</div>
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4. 留意庫藏股結束 買盤力竭見高點</h3>
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很多時候,公司實施庫藏股</div>
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讓股票短暫看起來籌碼很集中</div>
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但一旦庫藏股結束</div>
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也容易出現買盤力竭、高點反轉的現象</div>
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上緯投控(3708) 的案例就可看出</div>
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股價在庫藏股結束後見相對高點<br />
因此,投資朋友一定要注意庫藏股結束時間 </div>
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<img alt="" height="489" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724161450438.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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最後,和大家分享</h2>
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如何抓出公司派實施庫藏的分點</h2>
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打開 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/app/ItemContent.aspx?id=2880" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a></h3>
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去重大事件中勾選「庫藏股」</h3>
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那麼,個股K棒實施庫藏股期間</div>
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就會秀出粉紅底,一目了然</div>
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若想進一步看看該次實施庫藏的詳細資料</div>
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只要點選底下三角錐,即可看到資訊</div>
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<img alt="" height="337" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724164126735.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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觀察庫藏區間,背後推手是哪間券商?</h3>
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從下圖可發現【群益金鼎-新店】</div>
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是國巨當時實施庫藏股 買超最多的券商</div>
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重點是,券商剛好也在國巨(2327)附近</div>
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可推估可能是公司派實施庫藏的主要分點</div>
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<img alt="" height="341" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724172932250.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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再舉一個案例:<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3708?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">上緯控股(3708)</a></h3>
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下圖上緯控股(3708)實施庫藏股期間</div>
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買超第一的券商分點【元大草屯】位於南投</div>
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而上緯控股(3708) 正好也位於南投</div>
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正好是地緣券商,推估這樣的買盤可能是公司派</div>
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<img alt="" height="340" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724174641560.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6120?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">達運(6120)</a> 的案例就更加明顯了</h3>
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從下圖可明顯發現實施庫藏股區間(粉紅底)</div>
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固定出現【凱基-市政】大買</div>
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且凱基-市政跟達運(6120)同樣位於台中</div>
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因此,可推估該分點可能是實施庫藏的分點</div>
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<img alt="" height="338" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180724175716133.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-52415538370042606022018-07-18T06:35:00.000-07:002018-07-18T06:36:34.532-07:00國巨欲砸 255 億買庫藏!過去常淪口水護盤,這次玩真的?關鍵看「他」..<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718210845920.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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股后<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2327?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">國巨</a>反擊空頭</h2>
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明起買 4,500 張庫藏股</h2>
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翻開今日經濟、工商頭條</div>
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皆是國巨(2327)將實施<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/article-60637008" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">庫藏股護盤</a>的消息</div>
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由於近期被動元件產業多空消息雜陳</div>
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再加上國巨董座陳泰銘前妻日前出售 1.2萬張</div>
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公司 7/9 除息之後,受到空軍狙擊</div>
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融券逐日攀升,再加上主力調節</div>
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從波段高點1310至今日低點 828,<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">跌幅高達 36%</strong></span><br />
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<img alt="" height="411" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718155554036.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="550" /></div>
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公司派為了打擊空頭</div>
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昨日(7/17)公告將動用最多 255.08 億元</div>
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從今天起的 2 個月內,買回 4,500 張庫藏股</div>
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此外,根據公開資訊觀測站最新資料來看</div>
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國巨總經理張綺雯 6 月持股大增 5 倍至 1377 張</div>
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以國巨 6 月均價 1,085 計算,共斥資 12.75 億元</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">今日公司派這樣大動作的護盤消息</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">國巨(2327) 不漲反跌 4.87% </strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">後續該怎麼看呢?</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 贊助連結 ) </span></div>
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股價要往上漲</h2>
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資金是否持續流入才是重點</h2>
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近期主力資金撤退 導致<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2327?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">國巨</a>易跌難漲 </h3>
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從下圖來看</div>
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國巨在高檔區間整理期間</div>
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主力主要站在賣方</div>
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主力累計買賣超也是一路下滑</div>
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在資金撤退的情況下</div>
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股價恐怕易跌難漲</div>
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<img alt="" height="446" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718162455422.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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但國巨總經理不也是有影響力的大咖</h3>
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股價破千還重押 12.75 億元,不就是看好公司未來?</h3>
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當然,國巨總經理可以看好公司未來大量布局</div>
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不過別忘了當初新光金的慘案</div>
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新光金控在千元以上買進 6000 張宏達電股票</div>
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原因竟是董事長吳東進聽到宏達電創辦人王雪紅的談話</div>
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就指示投資部門進場力捧</div>
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結果卻以慘賠將近 60 億元收場</div>
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整個欲哭無淚阿</div>
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<img alt="" height="387" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718165608862.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="350" /></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 圖片來源:<a href="http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20140612003242-260410" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">中時電子報</a> )</span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">由此可見,順勢而為的重要性</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">如果一檔股票在高檔,主力已經在偷賣</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">甚至技術面已跌破月線轉弱</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">就算公司單一內部人大買</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">也不完全沒有跟單套牢的風險阿..</strong></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 延伸閱讀 → <a href="http://cmy.tw/006P8M" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">跟單關鍵</a> )</span></div>
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那麼,近期國巨實施庫藏股 </h2>
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股價有機會重返千元之上嗎?</h2>
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一切很難說...</h3>
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國巨近年庫藏股執行率偏低 當心淪口水護盤!</h3>
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觀察近 8 次 國巨實施庫藏股</div>
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可發現實際買回的執行率偏低</div>
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8 年就有 6 年執行率在 50% 以下</div>
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其中 4 年,執行率甚至不到 2 成</div>
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可見,公司挺擅長口水護盤..XD</div>
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<img alt="" height="370" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718181149180.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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不過,有時候口水護盤</div>
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在公司派態度偏多的情況下</div>
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也有可能激勵股價上漲</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">過去 8 次 國巨實施庫藏股期間</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">有 4 次股價漲幅超過 30% </strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">至於庫藏股結束後 20 天</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">反而容易出現買盤力竭的現象</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">僅 2 次股價漲幅超過 10 %</strong></div>
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公司派是否真正進場?</h3>
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鎖定關鍵券商【群益金鼎-新店】 </h3>
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觀察過去 8 次國巨實施庫藏股(粉紅底區間)</div>
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可發現在公司附近的分點【群益金鼎-新店】 </div>
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過去實施庫藏股期間,出現明顯的買盤</div>
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可推敲為公司實施庫藏股的券商分點</div>
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因此,最近國巨(2327)實施庫藏股</div>
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該分點是否實際出現買盤</div>
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就可推測公司派是否真正進場護盤</div>
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<img alt="" height="488" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180718184411930.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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像國巨(2327)這樣的景氣循環股</div>
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當產品漲價時,股價漲勢剽悍</div>
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但當股價修正時,也可能像近期一樣快</div>
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尤其當股價漲到相對高檔</div>
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更要留意景氣循環股的低本益比陷阱<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 延伸閱讀→ <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=31788" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">看懂本益比 </a>)</span></div>
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雖然公司實施庫藏股</div>
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象徵公司派做多意願濃厚</div>
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但股價是否真的會上漲</div>
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還是取決於整體主力是否由賣轉連買</div>
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此外,也要留意公司是否淪為口水護盤</div>
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可僅盯關鍵券商【群益金鼎-新店】是否出現實質買盤</div>
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如果實施庫藏股的分點沒換的話..XD</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 珍妮社團新開張 ►► <a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">限時加入 200 人</a> )</span></strong></div>
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<a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="374" /></a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-50303954653604629042018-07-16T06:30:00.000-07:002019-01-08T07:32:21.113-08:00若「券商分點」搜刮市場 10%↑ 籌碼,常常漲勢剽悍!這 11 檔,研究看看吧..<h2 style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 26px; line-height: 1.3; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716182750358.JPG" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></h2>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 珍妮攝影 )</span></div>
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找出券商買超異常股</h2>
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有機會賺取波段大行情</h2>
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「主力」就是具備足夠的資金實力</div>
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並且試圖運用各種技巧來影響價格波動的人</div>
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過去,「主力」行為總是披著神秘的面紗</div>
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現在隨著資訊越來越透明</div>
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投資人直接進入<a href="http://bsr.twse.com.tw/bshtm/" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">證交所</a></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
就可看到上市櫃公司的券商分點進出資訊</div>
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只要好好分析這些券商分點資訊</div>
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找出券商買超異常股</div>
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就有機會賺取波段大行情</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">今天先跟大家介紹券商買超異常股之一</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">→ 券商重押股</strong></span></div>
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<a name='more'></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 贊助商連結 )</span></div>
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單一券商重押某公司</h2>
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→ 未來可能有利多 → 伴隨波段行情</h2>
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如果一間公司,突然被一間券商急買</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">尤其,過去沒什麼買、突然急買</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">甚至買超佔區間成交量超過 10%</strong></div>
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目的是為什麼?</div>
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很有可能就是該券商分點掌握了該公司有利的情報</div>
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或許是未來即將爆發利多,</div>
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舉例來說,可能是接獲大單、財報將釋出好消息等等</div>
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因此,單一券商才趕緊重押</div>
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要不然,等到利多見報 要布局就來不及囉!</div>
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當然,這樣的券商重押股</div>
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事後來看,股價也容易出現波段行情</div>
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以<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4513?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">福裕(4513)</a>為例</h3>
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券商重押近 1 成 後來上漲 88%</h3>
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<img alt="" height="327" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716162137081.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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以<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2221?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">大甲(2221)</a>為例</h3>
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券商重押 16% 後來上漲 29%</h3>
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<img alt="" height="329" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716164538583.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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以<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8436?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">大江(8436)</a>為例</h3>
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券商重押20% 後來上漲 25%</h3>
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<img alt="" height="326" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716165650858.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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馬上抓出【券商重押股】</h2>
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打開「<a href="http://cmy.tw/006NSY" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>」進入【密技交流】區</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 1-點【密技交流】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 2-點【排行】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 3-點【珍妮_券商重押股】</strong></div>
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就能天天抓出券商重押股</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOGvp4EbnVD6ZZp6D0vRQXCPj1HhAmb3VM1g9RPyWb0OMuk-D9obu19FCGBJ9K4scBYlhEAtPhyphenhyphenvn51kw1jRkDKK50K44Wotxz8BILbANjRNeuUti629xXXkYlwwcXTGRujCsVO43B8J8u/s1600/ok2.png" style="color: black; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition: all 0.3s ease;"><img alt="" height="358" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716171434183.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></a></div>
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來看看策略背後的邏輯</h3>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">條件1:券商近 5 日重押超過 5%</strong></span></div>
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一般來說,單一券商重押近 10%</div>
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就屬於買超異常現象</div>
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不過,為了讓選股濾網寬鬆</div>
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珍妮設定近 5 日 單一券商重押超過 5% 即可</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">條件2:買買家數差近 20 日 5 成以上為負數</span></strong></div>
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代表近期整體籌碼集中</div>
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主力有吃或跡象</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">條件3:股價在融資成本線之上</strong></span></div>
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確保近期股價趨勢偏多</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">條件 4 :月營收年成長超過 20%</span></strong></div>
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業績成長股,往往營收不只成長一個月</div>
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且在業績挹注下,股價有機會續創新高</div>
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今日挑出的「<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">券商重押股</strong>」清單,共 11 檔..</h3>
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<img alt="" height="242" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180716173348640.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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注意事項:</h2>
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雖然券商重押股上漲機率高</div>
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但清單調出後 記得先檢查看看</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 股價是否已在相對高檔?</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 股價上方有明顯大量套牢壓力</strong></div>
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排除以上 2 點,操作勝率才能大幅提高</div>
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此外,進場可參考重押券商成本</div>
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但出場一切依照技術分析才安全</div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 詳細觀念可參考 → <a href="http://cmy.tw/006P8M" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">跟單關鍵</a> )</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-44776614525490858642018-06-28T23:34:00.001-07:002018-06-28T23:36:10.163-07:00台股空襲警報未解除,連主力也招架不住!跟單忽略「這關鍵」,小心大賺變大賠..<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628195519251.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( <a href="https://www.google.com.tw/search?q=storm&tbm=isch&tbs=rimg:CQbZnj2i10ktIjiAD0lrEcZm2V1OmypOW-oX2H1oZ7QA0H935Usekv_1XQCQ-zlC_1kH6vuC7K0Eb2D5W13kf4wCZhryoSCYAPSWsRxmbZEVVOCWzFDFYoKhIJXU6bKk5b6hcRxeRX6OYJiGAqEgnYfWhntADQfxECr8D-VekBSioSCXflSx6S_19dAEW6qFdQKIQaEKhIJJD7OUL-Qfq8ROH_1qh87mpMEqEgm4LsrQRvYPlRH_1_1BVocTA-VyoSCbXeR_1jAJmGvEViXdiMShaXq&tbo=u&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwju9-yWpvbbAhWMgbwKHeGtBNoQ9C96BAgBEBs&biw=1920&bih=947&dpr=1#imgrc=XU6bKk5b6hdjKM:" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">圖片來源</a>)</div>
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台股空襲警報尚未解除</h2>
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連主力也招架不住</h2>
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在貿易戰紛擾之下</div>
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國際股市持續震盪修正</div>
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台股當然無法置身事外</div>
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外資近 10 天就拋售 1069 億</div>
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台幣也持續走貶 來到 30.586</div>
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導致台股今日續破低</div>
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眼看台股空襲警報尚未解除</div>
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不少主力也趁反彈悄悄出貨</div>
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<a name='more'></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">喜歡搭主力順風車的投資朋友</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">若忽略「這關鍵」,恐大賠..</strong></span></div>
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<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">今天就要跟大家來介紹:</strong></span></div>
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<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 什麼是主力?</strong></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 如何搭主力順風車?</strong></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 跟主力單 不可忽略的關鍵</strong></span></div>
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什麼是主力?</h2>
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所謂「主力」就是具備足夠的資金實力</div>
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並且試圖運用各種技巧來影響價格波動的人</div>
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過去,由於資訊還不是那麼樣的對稱</div>
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「主力」行為總是披著神秘的面紗</div>
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現在隨著資訊越來越透明</div>
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投資人也可一窺主力的一舉一動</div>
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只要進入<a href="http://bsr.twse.com.tw/bshtm/" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">『臺灣證券交易所』</a></div>
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每天都能看到單一個股的「券商分點」下單明細</div>
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包括成交價、張數等 一目瞭然</div>
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<img alt="" height="344" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628172807491.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">如何搭主力順風車?</strong></h2>
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先抓出對股價有影響力的「關鍵券商」</h3>
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對股價有影響力的券商</div>
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可簡單歸納為 3 大類型:</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 囤貨高達半年以上券商</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 突然急買區間 10% 以上籌碼的券商</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 低買高賣型券商 </strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">再確認「關鍵券商」成本尚未拉開</strong></h3>
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若想安穩搭主力順風車</div>
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最好當時股價不要離「關鍵券商」成本太遠</div>
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基本上,成本差距在 10% 以內</div>
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追高風險相對低,買進相對安全</div>
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高囤貨型 案例 -<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3504?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">揚明光(3504)</a></h2>
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「康和-永和」大量囤貨半年 後來大漲一波 </h3>
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5/11 抓出 揚明光(3504)</div>
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可發現康和永和這間分點大量布局近半年</div>
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布局成本 58.6 元</div>
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與當天收盤價 65.1元拉開約 10% 左右</div>
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在成本並未拉開太多之下布局</div>
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就可享受後面的波段漲幅</div>
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<img alt="" height="335" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628180633322.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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急買10%籌碼型 案例 -<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4513?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">福裕(4513)</a></h2>
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「元富-大裕」突然急買10%籌碼 後來大漲一波 </h3>
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福裕(4513) 6/8 公布營收年增 136.73%</div>
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不過,元富大裕早在營收公布前</div>
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就急買了 226 張,占區間近 10%</div>
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買進均價10 元</div>
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考量營收公告當天股價 10.55元</div>
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成本並未明顯拉開的情況下進場</div>
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就可以搭關鍵主力的轎</div>
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後來,股價也大漲一波</div>
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<img alt="" height="336" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628185036942.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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低買高賣型 案例 -<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2340?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">光磊(2340)</a></h2>
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「康和-永和」習於低買高賣 </h3>
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從下圖可明顯發現</div>
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康和永和相當擅長操作光磊(2340)</div>
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過去幾次進出,總是能「買在相對低、賣在相對高」</div>
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因此,若5/30發現康永哥又開始買光磊(2340)</div>
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在買均價22.1元離當日股價不遠的情況下</div>
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就可考慮跟單</div>
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而後來,康永哥果然又賣在高點</div>
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<img alt="" height="342" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628191455371.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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不過,搭主力順風車</h2>
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出場可別犯了「這錯誤」</h2>
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→ 關鍵券商不出場 就不出</h3>
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原因是主力也是人</div>
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當行情不好時,也有可能蒙受虧損</div>
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若您因為關鍵券商還沒出場</div>
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你就一直不出場</div>
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最後可能反而可能大賠..</div>
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此外,主力也沒這麼笨</div>
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當手中一堆股票想出貨時</div>
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有時候不見得想讓市場的人知道</div>
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所以也可能將股票從A點匯撥至B點出</div>
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因此,想等關鍵主力的出場軌跡</div>
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也不見得檔檔都像光磊(2340)這樣低買高賣給你看喔~</div>
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因此,我喜歡的做法</h3>
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進場參考關鍵券商成本 出場以技術面為主</h3>
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就拿最近的揚明光(3504)來說</div>
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進場我們可以參考關鍵券商-康和永和的成本</div>
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但出場若我們犯了「關鍵券商不出我就不出」的錯誤</div>
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就容易讓自己的獲利縮水,甚至可能最後反倒大賠</div>
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從下圖來看,關鍵券商並無明顯大賣的行為</div>
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但股價早已跌破月線</div>
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技術面明顯轉弱,就可考慮先落袋為安</div>
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<img alt="" height="477" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180628193411646.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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如果一檔股票,</div>
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符合以下 3 大關鍵券商之一</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 囤貨高達半年以上券商</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 突然急買區間 10% 以上籌碼的券商</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 低買高賣型券商 </strong></div>
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在股價並未跟關鍵券商拉開超過10%之下</div>
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就可以考慮搭關鍵券商的順風車</div>
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不過,要特別留意</div>
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進場可參考關鍵券商成本沒問題</div>
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但出場絕對不要因為關鍵券商沒出就不出</div>
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依照技術面出場</div>
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譬如跌破均線、大量支撐等</div>
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會是比較安全的模式喔</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 珍妮社團新開張 ►► <a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">限時加入 200 人</a> )</span></strong></div>
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<a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="374" /></a><a href="https://goo.gl/fy1f6s" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="15" /></a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-69485840228703995382018-06-27T23:40:00.000-07:002018-06-28T23:41:48.686-07:00台股慘遭外資提款 988 億!25 檔 「高融資」危險股,連主力也棄守<h2 style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 26px; line-height: 1.3; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20161115155541383.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></h2>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( <a href="https://www.google.com.tw/search?q=%E7%83%8F%E9%9B%B2%E7%B1%A0%E7%BD%A9&espv=2&biw=1920&bih=950&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjAgbywo6rQAhXHNJQKHWukAwkQ_AUIBigB#imgrc=LN2lRCHpkLc5xM%3A" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">圖片來源</a> )</span></div>
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台幣續貶</h2>
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破底警報尚未解除</h2>
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美國聯準會貨幣政策偏鷹派</div>
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再加上中美貿易戰火的延燒</div>
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導致台幣跟隨新興市場貨幣重貶</div>
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今日美元兌台幣衝到 30.454 元<br />
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<img alt="" height="323" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627183154267.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="611" /></div>
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對照台股,外資持續賣超</div>
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在資金持續撤退的情況下</div>
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破底危機未解除</div>
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<img alt="" height="473" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627191938072.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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尤其,大盤這一波重挫</div>
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常常在關鍵支撐收「長下引線」</div>
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但看看6/20、6/22 及 6/26 這 3 天</div>
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儘管當日收了下引線,</div>
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不過在上漲壓力重重之下</div>
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反彈無力常常續跌、甚至破底</div>
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既然大盤尚未止跌,個股操作就要更謹慎..</div>
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大盤疲弱下 就算業績亮眼股</h2>
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也可能被主力趁機出貨</h2>
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像先前大漲一波的業績亮眼股</div>
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如被動元件、mosfet族群</div>
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近期隨著大盤轉弱,也跟著高檔拉回</div>
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在盤勢疲弱之下</div>
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滿手股票的主力</div>
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當然會想趁著反彈慢慢出貨</div>
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因此,現階段去搶過去大漲一波的業績股</div>
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就容易遇到開高走低的情況</div>
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類似今天<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2456?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">奇力新(2456)</a>、<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6435?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">大中(6435)</a>的走勢</div>
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<img alt="" height="359" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627154640038.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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高融資危險股更別亂搶</h2>
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反彈遇壓 還可放空</h2>
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在股市恐慌性重挫下</div>
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高融資股在「斷頭」壓力下</div>
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更容易出現「多殺多」的現象</div>
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因此,高融資股的反彈可別亂搶</div>
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經驗豐富的投資朋友</div>
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甚至可以趁高融資股反彈遇壓放空</div>
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<img alt="" height="641" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627170925650.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="664" /></h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a> )<br style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" />註:股票依照「6/26資使用率(%)」高至低排序</strong></div>
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篩選出來的股票</div>
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當然不是拿到就隨便亂空</div>
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可以進一步研究籌碼</div>
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看看股票目前最大量的壓力區在哪裡?</div>
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並耐心等待股票反彈至大量壓附近</div>
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反彈無力時再出手,才能增加勝率!</div>
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以<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4721?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">美琪瑪(4721) </a>為例:</h3>
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資用率高 且散戶一路買,導致股價修正</h3>
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美琪瑪(4721) 資用率接近 6 成 </div>
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當股價見高點 129 元後</div>
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即便股價一路修正</div>
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散戶卻沿路買超</div>
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在籌碼渙散下,股價也就易跌難漲</div>
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<img alt="" height="465" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627172513313.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004EPW" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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當股價反彈至大量區時 可嘗試放空</h3>
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確認籌碼結構渙散後</div>
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當發現股價反彈至大量壓力區</div>
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出現反彈無力時,就可以嘗試放空</div>
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以 6/15 的美琪瑪(4721) 為例</div>
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當天一度反彈至高點 113 元</div>
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然而,遇到大量壓力區 108.3~~114.08 元</div>
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收盤無法站穩區間上緣 114.08 元</div>
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隔天就可以嘗試放空囉</div>
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<img alt="" height="345" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627171904812.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004EPW" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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以 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-1795?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">美時(1795)</a> 為例:</h3>
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融資鎖碼股 主力一旦棄守,股價走弱</h3>
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從下圖可以看到</div>
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美時(1795) 4 月的行情</div>
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主要是主力用融資鎖碼</div>
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然而,融資鎖碼股上去快下來也快</div>
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近期主力退場</div>
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股價也跟著向下修正</div>
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目前美時(1795)資用率仍高達48.07%</div>
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未來如果主力的融資繼續退場</div>
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股價恐怕再度面臨修正</div>
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<img alt="" height="468" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627180806298.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004EPW" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>)</div>
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當股價反彈至大量區時 可嘗試放空</h3>
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同樣地,確認籌碼結構渙散後</div>
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當發現股價反彈至大量壓力區</div>
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出現反彈無力時,就可以嘗試放空</div>
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觀察近期美時(1795)分價量統計圖</div>
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每當股價反彈至大量壓力區 87.25~90元</div>
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常常出現留上引線的黑k</div>
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因此,欲放空著就可趁反彈無力放空</div>
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<img alt="" height="345" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180627182831633.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004EPW" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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新台幣持續重貶</div>
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近 9 天外資也大賣了 988.7 億</div>
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今天反彈甚至無法封閉昨日缺口</div>
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在反彈力道薄弱的狀況下</div>
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大盤隨時都有可能再度破低</div>
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因此,現階段反彈是用來降低持股比率</div>
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以及 汰弱留強用的</div>
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尤其,高融資危險股特別要避開</div>
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積極一點甚至可以逢高放空</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 珍妮社團新開張 ►► <a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">限時加入 200 人</a> )</span></strong></div>
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<a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="374" /></a><a href="https://goo.gl/fy1f6s" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="15" /></a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-35123074394928243592018-06-25T06:36:00.000-07:002019-01-08T06:37:06.222-08:003攻略 揪出 X 檔「主力押寶」業績股<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyGV_jmJERsY6fvPMu7mxUEPV9ua2_DpbbR7CXCSAJWkL-srhIJwBdZ0pHWNdR8TFiucn7WsX586rdIjD8qPur2cKi4N8cd87RMaqTzu0imdVlbzqhVDh0gOwITO7C_KA1Bz02vH6gEHY/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="846" data-original-width="1503" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyGV_jmJERsY6fvPMu7mxUEPV9ua2_DpbbR7CXCSAJWkL-srhIJwBdZ0pHWNdR8TFiucn7WsX586rdIjD8qPur2cKi4N8cd87RMaqTzu0imdVlbzqhVDh0gOwITO7C_KA1Bz02vH6gEHY/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 近期盤勢重點解析</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-10902610341596344142018-06-07T03:17:00.000-07:002018-06-07T03:17:42.182-07:00年中作帳倒數 16 天!3 步驟 揪出 14 檔「投信急買股」,錯過了等明年..<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180607171757282.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( <a href="https://pixabay.com/zh/%E6%A1%86-%E6%8B%B3%E5%87%BB%E6%AF%94%E8%B5%9B-%E6%8B%B3-%E9%87%8C%E5%8D%A1%E5%A4%9A-%C2%B7-%E5%A4%9A%E6%98%8E%E6%A0%BC%E6%96%AF-%E6%8B%89%E6%96%90%E5%B0%94-%C2%B7-%E5%A5%A5%E5%B0%94%E8%92%82%E6%96%AF-%E9%92%A9-62867/" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">圖片來源 </a>)</span></div>
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進入季底,投信作帳又成話題</h2>
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時序進入 6 月</div>
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第二季也悄悄地來到尾聲</div>
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投信季底作帳再掀話題</div>
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集月底、季底及上半年於一身的</div>
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「三重作帳」行情該如何掌握?</div>
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在這之前,</div>
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我們先來好好了解一下投信的操作習性</div>
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以免作帳不成反被結帳<br />
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投信買股票有 3 大特性</h2>
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投信 就是指「投資信託公司」</div>
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我們一般稱為「基金公司」</div>
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主要向大眾募集資金去發行基金</div>
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並交由專業的基金經理人去操作</div>
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基金經理人雖握有大把銀子操盤</div>
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但他們操作起股票,</div>
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其實會遇到一些綁手綁腳的問題</div>
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舉例來說:</div>
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法規規定持股要 70% 以上,</div>
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就算大空頭也不能把股票全賣掉。</div>
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再者,必須受限一檔基金持有單一個股</div>
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不得超過它淨值的 10%</div>
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即使基金經理人擅長長線投資</div>
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但績效不好會被 Fire 換掉</div>
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為了維持績效,常會追高殺低 。</div>
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種種的矛盾,</div>
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因此造成投信的操作有以下特性:</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">特性 1 : 選股重基本面,卻短線操作</strong></h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">特性 2 : 偏好操作中小型股</strong></h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">習性 3: 投信容易在每季季底「作帳」or「結帳」</strong></h3>
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投信持股如果太高</h2>
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小心作帳不成反被「結帳」</h2>
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由於投信受限</div>
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持有單一個股佔淨值比重不得超過 10% 的規定</div>
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因此投信買進小型股這件事有一個極限</div>
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實務上常常看到</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">一檔個股,投信持有它的比例 達到 15% 以上,買盤就開始衰竭</strong></div>
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或是前波大買一段,發現炒不太動;</div>
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有大基金開始轉賣,就會一堆人開始砍出。</div>
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以 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4528?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">江興鍛(4528)</a> 為例:</h3>
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投信持股過高 容易見高點</h3>
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近年江興鍛(4528)走勢深受投信布局影響</div>
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為一檔標準的投信認養股</div>
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從下圖股價走勢比對投信持股比率來看</div>
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近 4 次的波段高點</div>
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投信持股比率分別為 15.06%、12.84%、15.58%、10.5%</div>
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可見,當投信持股比率接近 15%</div>
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就容易出現買盤力竭的現象</div>
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而導致股價見高點後開始下跌</div>
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<img alt="" height="444" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180607152834426.Jpeg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006NSY" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>)</div>
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那麼,投信持股多少才安全?</h2>
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原本投信持股很少,但持股比例突然大增</h3>
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看到上面的例子</div>
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就可以知道</div>
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投信持股比例不是越高越好</div>
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有時候持股比率過高</div>
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作帳不成反被結帳了</div>
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聰明的投資人</div>
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若想搭著投信的轎</div>
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反而應該挑選投信持股很少</div>
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但持股比例突然大增的標的</div>
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後面才有漲幅空間</div>
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以 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8163?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">達方(8163)</a> 為例:</h3>
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投信過去不買突然急買 股價大漲76%</h3>
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過去投信有一陣子並沒有佈局達方(8163)</div>
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不過,5/11 投信突然急買 3356 張</div>
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當時投信持股比率不高,僅 1.27%</div>
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並無持股比率過高的現象</div>
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再加上股價剛剛從低檔轉強</div>
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這樣投信的連續買盤就可跟單</div>
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後來也帶動股價上漲 76%</div>
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<img alt="" height="438" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180607154836542.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006NSY" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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馬上抓出【投信急買股】</h2>
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打開「<a href="http://cmy.tw/006NSY" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>」進入【密技交流】區</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 1-點【密技交流】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 2-點【排行】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 3-點【投本比高股】</strong></div>
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就能天天抓出投信認養股</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOGvp4EbnVD6ZZp6D0vRQXCPj1HhAmb3VM1g9RPyWb0OMuk-D9obu19FCGBJ9K4scBYlhEAtPhyphenhyphenvn51kw1jRkDKK50K44Wotxz8BILbANjRNeuUti629xXXkYlwwcXTGRujCsVO43B8J8u/s1600/ok2.png" style="color: black; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition: all 0.3s ease;"><img alt="" height="462" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180607161918823.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></a></div>
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附上 14 檔「投信急買股」清單</h2>
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<img alt="" height="476" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180607173816058.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="781" /></div>
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(資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006NSY" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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不同的盤勢有著不同的選股邏輯</div>
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季底投信作帳行情蓄勢待發</div>
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不妨鎖定投信在照顧的「小型股」</div>
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不過下手前仍須留意以下 2 點</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 投信持股比率不得過高 (接近15%就需小心)</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 避開已大漲一波的股票</strong></div>
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才能避開被結帳的風險喔</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 珍妮社團新開張 ►► <a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">限時加入 200 人</a> )</span></strong></div>
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<a href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="374" /></a><a href="https://goo.gl/fy1f6s" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="15" /></a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-64356778037904010082018-05-31T18:53:00.000-07:002018-06-06T18:54:48.140-07:00選股策略挑出 6 檔,該買誰?3 關鍵 揪出真正「慓悍股」- 合晶(6182) <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531201211492.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 圖片:Jenny 於上海外灘拍攝 )</span></div>
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「沒有最好的策略</h2>
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只有適合盤勢的策略」</h2>
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這句話一直是 <a href="https://www.facebook.com/jennykao412/" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">Jenny </a>在選股上的座右銘</div>
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原因是盤勢千變萬化</div>
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只要當下可賺錢的策略 就是好策略</div>
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舉例來說:</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當行情由外資主導時 → 操作<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=94049" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">外資認養股</a></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當行情由投信主導時 → 操作<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=85189" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">投信認養股</a></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當行情熱絡時 → 操作<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=89916" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">融資鎖碼股</a>、<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=94645" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼集中股</a>、<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=93337" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">旗桿飆股</a></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當財報公布前後 → 操作<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=107734" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">財報亮眼股</a></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當券補日子將至 → 操作<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=123884" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">軋空股</a></strong></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">不過,多數投資人遇到的問題是</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">在資金有限的情況下</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">策略挑出一籃子股票</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">究竟該買哪一檔呢?</strong></span><br />
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符合 3 關鍵 優先考慮布局</h2>
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關鍵 1:擁有關鍵主力</h3>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">一檔股票擁有關鍵主力</strong></u></div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">代表未來被炒作的機率高</strong></u></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 延伸閱讀:<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=93159" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">如何抓出關鍵主力?</a>)</strong></span></div>
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關鍵主力如果以身分來區分</div>
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主要可分為法人、公司派 及 市場派</div>
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最常見的法人就是外資 和 投信</div>
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他們通常偏好布局業績亮眼股</div>
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<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=67447" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">地緣券商</a> 由於地理位置與公司相近</div>
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常常讓人與公司派做聯想</div>
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至於市場派,也有許多神通廣大的分點</div>
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若這些分點出現異常買超、重壓</div>
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或 低買高賣等 跡象 </div>
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都有可能成為該股的關鍵主力 </div>
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<img alt="" height="234" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531180300691.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="288" /></div>
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關鍵 2:具備起漲型態</h3>
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買股票在不考慮配息的情況下</div>
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最怕股票不漲又不跌、資金被卡住</div>
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多數投資人資金有限</div>
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當然希望一出手股票就趕快起漲</div>
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因此,技術面的起漲型態就顯得很重要了</div>
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一般常見偏多型態包括</div>
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突破前高、頸線 或 旗桿飆股型態 等</div>
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具備起漲型態的股票,才能買得有效率</div>
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( ▼ 點選下圖學習 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=93337" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">旗桿型態</a> )</div>
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<img alt="" height="289" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531183418221.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="300" /></div>
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關鍵 3:上檔無明顯壓力</h3>
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很多人常常看到股票轉強就跑去追</div>
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但常常遇到一買就被套的悲劇</div>
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原因是投資人忽略了上檔套牢壓力</div>
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那麼,下手買股前 要如何判斷上檔有壓?</div>
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最快的方式就是挑選在季線之上的股票</div>
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能快速確保一檔股票趨勢偏多</div>
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再來,運用 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=94208" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">分價量統計圖</a> (如下圖)</div>
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看看短中長線是否存在大壓</div>
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<img alt="" height="234" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531183951465.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股價上方 的 相對大量 →「大量壓力區」</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股價下方 的 相對大量 → 為「大量支撐區」</strong></div>
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以 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6182?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">合晶(6182)</a> 為例 </h2>
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符合 3 關鍵 股價大漲 30% </h2>
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5/8 從「土洋都愛的業績股」策略挑出 合晶(6182)</div>
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仔細觀察是否符合上面所述的 3 關鍵</div>
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台灣摩根士丹利、統一 為關鍵主力</h3>
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從下圖可明顯看出</div>
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台灣摩根士丹利及統一</div>
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近 1 週分別大買 5351 及 4064 張</div>
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買超張數相對其他分點的 4~5 倍</div>
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而且過去不太買突然急買</div>
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似乎掌握了什麼即將引爆的利多</div>
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因此,他們的買均價 49.2~51.7元具有參考性</div>
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而5/8當時收盤價 53.8 元</div>
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距離關鍵主力成本尚未拉開10%</div>
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因此,判定未來仍有上漲空間</div>
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<img alt="" height="308" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531190503292.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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關鍵主力急買</h3>
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帶動股價突破前高 </h3>
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而台灣摩根士丹利、統一 的急買</div>
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也順勢帶動5/8合晶(6182)跳空突破前高</div>
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股價總算脫離季線附近的震盪區</div>
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技術面轉強,起漲型態確認</div>
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<img alt="" height="308" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531193144784.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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上檔無明顯大量賣壓</h3>
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最後觀察個股分價量統計圖</div>
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可得知並無明顯大量賣壓</div>
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<img alt="" height="326" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531194408342.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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符合 3 關鍵 </h3>
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後來股價大漲近 30%</h3>
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<img alt="" height="279" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180531194932439.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="680" /></div>
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快速結論</h2>
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近年來我在<a href="http://jennykao412.blogspot.com/p/blog-page_76.html" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">部落格</a>分享不少策略</div>
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每個策略通常能挑出超過 10 檔股票</div>
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如果你常常看著一籃子股票</div>
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卻不知道該挑哪一檔</div>
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不妨參考 3 關鍵</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">關鍵1:擁有關鍵主力</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">關鍵2:具備起漲型態</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">關鍵 3:上檔無明顯壓力</strong></span></div>
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那麼,操作勝率就能大幅提高了</div>
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馬上抓出【主力悄悄吃貨股】</h2>
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打開「<a href="http://cmy.tw/006h7N" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>」進入【密技交流】區</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 1-點【籌碼選股】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 2-點【密技交流】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 3-點【排行】</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Step 4-點【短中長籌碼集中表態股】</strong></div>
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就能天天抓出主力吃貨股啦</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOGvp4EbnVD6ZZp6D0vRQXCPj1HhAmb3VM1g9RPyWb0OMuk-D9obu19FCGBJ9K4scBYlhEAtPhyphenhyphenvn51kw1jRkDKK50K44Wotxz8BILbANjRNeuUti629xXXkYlwwcXTGRujCsVO43B8J8u/s1600/ok2.png" style="color: black; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition: all 0.3s ease;"><img alt="" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOGvp4EbnVD6ZZp6D0vRQXCPj1HhAmb3VM1g9RPyWb0OMuk-D9obu19FCGBJ9K4scBYlhEAtPhyphenhyphenvn51kw1jRkDKK50K44Wotxz8BILbANjRNeuUti629xXXkYlwwcXTGRujCsVO43B8J8u/s1600/ok2.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">♗ </span>珍妮社團新開張</h3>
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每日限量 168 人加入<a data-cke-saved-href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">【</span>FB 社團<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">】</span> </a>!</h3>
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<a data-cke-saved-href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span class="cke_widget_wrapper cke_widget_inline cke_widget_selected" contenteditable="false" data-cke-display-name="圖片" data-cke-filter="off" data-cke-widget-id="10" data-cke-widget-wrapper="1" style="display: inline-block; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: relative;" tabindex="-1"><img alt="" class="cke_widget_element" data-cke-saved-src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" data-cke-widget-data="{"hasCaption":false,"src":"https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg","alt":"","width":"374","height":"244","lock":true,"align":"none"}" data-cke-widget-keep-attr="0" data-cke-widget-upcasted="1" data-widget="image" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; cursor: default; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px;" width="374" /><span class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler_container" style="background: url("https://www.cmoney.tw/thirdparty/ckeditor/4.3.2/plugins/widget/images/handle.png") rgba(220, 220, 220, 0.5); height: 0px; left: 0px; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; opacity: 0.75; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: -15px; transition: height 0s 0.2s; width: 15px;"><img class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler" data-cke-widget-drag-handler="1" draggable="true" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: 15px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px; width: 15px;" title="拖曳以移動" width="15" /></span></span></a></div>
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免責宣言</h2>
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本網站所提供資訊僅供參考,並無任何推介買賣之意,投資人應自行承擔交易風險<br />
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-26851044299867225172018-05-24T18:47:00.000-07:002019-01-08T07:31:26.931-08:005 面向 看懂「股市體檢表」,速判股票該買還是賣!以 零壹(3029) 為例<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524185200165.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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手中股票該買還是賣?</h2>
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是多數投資人常會遇到的問題之一</div>
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而分析一檔股票的方法就有 3 大面向</div>
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包括 基本面、技術面 及 籌碼面 </div>
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對一般投資人來說</div>
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將一檔股票套用 3 大面向分析</div>
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常常大半天就過去了</div>
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更不用說有些投資人滿手股票</div>
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研究起來更加費時</div>
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為了讓投資決策可以更有效率</div>
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看懂【<a href="http://cmy.tw/006OOl" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">股市體檢表</a>】</h3>
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就能快速判斷個股該買還是賣</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><img alt="" height="574" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524172211671.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="600" /></span></strong></div>
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不過,股市體檢表中</div>
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密密麻麻的數據該如何解讀?</div>
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底下直接帶一檔股票</div>
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一步步教大家如何個股健診</div>
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5 面向分辨個股好壞:以<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a>為例</h2>
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<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">一、主力動向:趨勢偏多</span></h3>
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主力動向可快速了解一檔股票的多空趨勢</div>
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<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">主力「大買」偏多操作 勝算高</strong></span></div>
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<span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">主力「大賣」偏空操作 勝算高</strong></span></div>
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此外, <a href="http://cmy.tw/004Tjy" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">集中度</a> 也相當值得留意</div>
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是主力買賣張數占區間量的比重</div>
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主要來衡量籌碼的集中程度</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">原則上籌碼集中度(%) > 0 就不算差</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">如果短天期集中大於長天期集中度</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">更顯示籌碼有越來越集中的跡象</strong></div>
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<img alt="" height="171" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524172341057.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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從上圖可得知 5/24 的 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a></div>
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5、20、60日的主力方向分別為 小買、小買、小買</div>
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集中度分別為 9.9%、7.4%、2.9% </div>
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籌碼有越來越集中的現象</div>
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可見,偏多操作較為有利</div>
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二、籌碼分布:有融資鎖碼跡象</h3>
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一般來說外資持股比率超過 10%,為外資認養股</div>
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而投信持股比率超過 0.5%,為投信認養股</div>
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融資使用率超過 20% 以上,就有融資鎖碼的跡象</div>
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千張大戶比率介於 40%~70% 的股票,籌碼較佳</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">(詳細介紹 → <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=31401" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">外資認養股</a>、 <a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=55974" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"> 投信認養股</a>、<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=89916" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">融資鎖碼股</a>、<a href="http://k.cmy.tw/2017/09/blog-post_33.html" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">千張大戶</a>)</strong></div>
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<img alt="" height="132" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524173106041.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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從上圖籌碼來觀察</div>
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<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a> 融資持股比率接近 20%</div>
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有融資鎖碼的跡象</div>
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三、股價評估:低風險</h3>
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一般正常營運的公司</div>
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通常都能夠透過下列三種方法來評估股價的合理性</div>
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即 ROE概念法、本益比概念法、股利概念法</div>
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在買賣一檔股票前了解股價處於高估或是低估狀態</div>
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對投資人來說是非常有幫助</div>
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如果您本身有在運用<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=29250" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">「分價量統計」</a>抓目標價</div>
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那麼再搭配體檢表中的股價合理區間</div>
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更可以確認您設定的目標價是否合理</div>
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<img alt="" height="101" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524180933281.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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這邊要特別注意的是</div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">ROE概念 適合用來評估超級績優的公司,例如台積電</u></div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">本益比概念 不適用高度成長的潛力股</u></div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股利概念 只適合配息穩定的公司</u></div>
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以 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a> 來說</div>
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三種估價法的「可靠度」皆大於八成以上</div>
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故「合理區間」就具有參考性</div>
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用 ROE、本益比 及 股利 估價法去看</div>
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目前股價屬於「低風險」</div>
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三、營收盈餘</h3>
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沒有基本面支撐的股價終究會被打回原形</div>
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有基本面支撐的股價才會走的久遠</div>
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故掌握營收、EPS 相關數據相當重要</div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">其中以累計營收YOY(%)及營收YOY(%)最為重要</u></div>
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原因是營收一個月公布一次</div>
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較不像季報、年報有資訊延遲性的缺點</div>
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且 營收又是損益表中的最源頭</div>
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營收的多寡間接影響一間公司獲利的多寡</div>
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因此,月營收公布的前後往往會造成股價劇烈的波動</div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">一般來說,累計營收YOY(%)及營收YOY(%) 數字越大</u></div>
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<u style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股價越容易向上走</u></div>
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<img alt="" height="80" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524173620668.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a> 4 月營收年增 8.79%、累計營收年增7.32%</div>
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營收表現算是四平八穩</div>
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股價在基本面的支撐下</div>
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持續在高檔震盪走高</div>
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四、市場評價</h3>
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<img alt="" height="79" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524174239591.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">★【獨家】 EPS(法人估) </span></strong></div>
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主要公開法人對該公司的 EPS預估值</div>
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讓投資人與法人站同樣的起跑點</div>
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要特別注意的是</div>
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這邊的EPS(法人估)主要是</div>
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根據法人各式各樣的研究報告中有提到EPS,取平均</div>
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不同於股價評估表中的EPS</div>
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是根據法人機構的預估的財報去算的</div>
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如果兩者差異很大,表示市場的分岐也很大</div>
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如果差異很小,表示市場有一定的共識</div>
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<span style="font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=31788" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">本益比 </a>:衡量投資股票幾年後可以回本 越小越好</strong></span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=15612" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">股價淨值比</a>:衡量股票的下檔空間 越小越好</span></strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=15612" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">殖利率 </a>:長線投資人最該看 越大越好</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=15612" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">ROE</a>:越高越好( 長期維持 8% 以上為佳 )</strong></div>
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觀察 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a> 的市場評價</div>
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本益比及股價淨值比分別為 13.29 及 1.28 </div>
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股價還不算太貴</div>
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ROE 11.2% 獲利能力不錯</div>
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重點來了!法人預估EPS 1.7 元</div>
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如果給予 15 倍的本益比來算</div>
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目標價達 25.5 元還算合理 (1.7*15=25.5)</div>
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零壹(3029)健診小結:</h2>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 零壹(3029) 主力站買方,趨勢偏多</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 資用率接近20%,有主力融資鎖碼跡象</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 3 大估價法皆顯示為低風險</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">4. 營收成長 8.79%,表現四平八穩</strong></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">5. 法人預估 EPS 1.7 元,合理目標價約 25.5 元</strong></span></div>
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如果您平時比較忙碌</div>
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沒有時間好好研究一檔個股</div>
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學會看懂【體檢表】</div>
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就能節省不少時間</div>
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讓你的投資更有效率</div>
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當然,如果您還是看不懂</div>
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體檢表背後的定義及數據衡量標準</div>
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其實也沒關係</div>
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只要會看顏色,就可以避免犯錯</div>
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當「體檢」結果看起來紅紅的</div>
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就表示狀況很好</div>
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如果「體檢」結果看起來綠綠的</div>
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就表示目前狀況不好</div>
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以<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3029?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">零壹(3029)</a> 的體檢表來看</div>
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整體數據呈紅色,表示偏多</div>
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在主力尚未出現連續性大賣前</div>
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可以繼續安心持有</div>
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<img alt="" height="592" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180524182839500.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="700" /></div>
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<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">♗ </span>珍妮社團新開張</h3>
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每日限量 168 人加入<a data-cke-saved-href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">【</span>FB 社團<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">】</span> </a>!</h3>
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<a data-cke-saved-href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span class="cke_widget_wrapper cke_widget_inline cke_widget_selected" contenteditable="false" data-cke-display-name="圖片" data-cke-filter="off" data-cke-widget-id="10" data-cke-widget-wrapper="1" style="display: inline-block; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: relative;" tabindex="-1"><img alt="" class="cke_widget_element" data-cke-saved-src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" data-cke-widget-data="{"hasCaption":false,"src":"https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg","alt":"","width":"374","height":"244","lock":true,"align":"none"}" data-cke-widget-keep-attr="0" data-cke-widget-upcasted="1" data-widget="image" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; cursor: default; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px;" width="374" /><span class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler_container" style="background: url("https://www.cmoney.tw/thirdparty/ckeditor/4.3.2/plugins/widget/images/handle.png") rgba(220, 220, 220, 0.5); height: 0px; left: 0px; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; opacity: 0.75; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: -15px; transition: height 0s 0.2s; width: 15px;"><img class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler" data-cke-widget-drag-handler="1" draggable="true" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: 15px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px; width: 15px;" title="拖曳以移動" width="15" /></span></span></a></div>
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免責宣言</h2>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-32479250273199780152018-05-14T06:30:00.000-07:002019-01-08T07:31:06.090-08:00Q1季報、4月營收選股大解密!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFTpRcxAJxccpUXJvWmGus4Vb1XpgS0KmN_fYgLhWZ9JAEtZY2j8gvsEAj_SSDKOYnpgOE2adpqkAFJo_7f_6S07Uw4qBua8Ga8DpxHumRRuAzTPhyMt_1WC3BQAxdEwdBzoDhwLEcVSk/s1600/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="626" data-original-width="1500" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFTpRcxAJxccpUXJvWmGus4Vb1XpgS0KmN_fYgLhWZ9JAEtZY2j8gvsEAj_SSDKOYnpgOE2adpqkAFJo_7f_6S07Uw4qBua8Ga8DpxHumRRuAzTPhyMt_1WC3BQAxdEwdBzoDhwLEcVSk/s640/%25E6%259C%25AA%25E5%2591%25BD%25E5%2590%258D.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 20pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">直播大綱:</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 近期盤勢解析</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 財報選股策略與應用</span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Merriweather, "Open Sans", sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8; margin: 8pt 0px 0pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. Q1季報、4月營收 雙強股解析</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-16336109541847987292018-05-02T18:39:00.000-07:002018-06-06T18:41:23.122-07:00主流股如何抓?掌握 2 關鍵,也能抓到下一檔華新科(2492)<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/undefined/20180502190837714.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( <a href="https://pixabay.com/zh/%E6%91%84%E5%BD%B1%E5%B8%88-%E7%85%A7%E7%89%87-%E6%97%85%E6%B8%B8-%E7%9B%B8%E6%9C%BA-%E6%BB%91%E7%A8%BD-%E6%95%B0%E5%AD%97%E7%85%A7%E7%9B%B8%E6%9C%BA-%E6%91%84%E5%BD%B1-%E5%81%87%E6%9C%9F-2550378/" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">圖片來源</a> )</div>
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搞懂「資金流向」</h2>
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行情低迷照樣賺</h2>
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近期大盤在年線附近震盪</div>
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行情相對低迷,多數投資人傾向觀望</div>
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不過,盤面仍有些個股相對強勢</div>
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因此,搞懂「資金流向」照樣能夠賺 </div>
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尤其,天天做觀察</div>
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盤感提升 自然更能掌握主流股..<br />
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<a name='more'></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">今天這篇文章</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">將教大家如何觀察資金流向</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">進而抓出盤面主流股</strong></span></div>
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好學生常常出現在榮譽榜</h2>
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好股票也是 漲幅排行常常會有它</h2>
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每天觀察強弱勢股</div>
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是我盤後重要的功課之一</div>
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而最快速的方式</div>
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就是打開券商軟體</div>
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直接觀察當日漲跌幅排行榜</div>
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畢竟一檔股票當天突然大漲或大跌</div>
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背後往往隱藏著極大的利空或利多</div>
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尤其,特定股票若常常出現在當日漲跌幅排行榜裡</div>
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那麼,走長多或長空的機會又更大了</div>
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就可以優先去研究它們!</div>
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<img alt="" height="407" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180502171639524.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="460" /><img alt="" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="15" /></div>
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( 資料來源:券商軟體 )</div>
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問題來了</div>
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對很多投資新手來說</div>
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在經驗還不夠豐富的狀況下</div>
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看了這些強弱勢排行漲跌幅後</div>
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還是無法準確抓出今天的主流股</div>
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這該怎麼辦?</div>
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<a href="http://cmy.tw/006hzN" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> 裡面的即時大盤</div>
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能幫助大家抓出盤面漲勢較強的類股</div>
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用籌碼K的「即時大盤」 抓出主流類股</h2>
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今天抓出主流類股 ─ 被動元件</h3>
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以今天5/2 來說</div>
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電子零組件漲福 1.61%居族群第三</div>
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其中,被動元件廠 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2942?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">華新科(2492)</a> 強漲 9.87%</div>
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股價來到 206 元,再創新高</div>
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至於 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2327?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">國巨(2327)</a>、<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3026?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">禾伸堂(3026) </a>等</div>
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漲幅皆超過 2% 以上。</div>
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<img alt="" height="439" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180502173823161.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006hzN" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a><a href="http://cmy.tw/0058Q0" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"> </a>)</div>
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看完了,很多人一定會問</div>
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但每天這樣觀察</div>
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怎樣才知道這類股是漲真的?</div>
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比較可能排除一天行情呢?</div>
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符合主流股的 2 大重點</h2>
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1 符合價格強</h3>
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從近一個月漲跌幅來做觀察</div>
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可明顯發現「被動元件」就在第一名</div>
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代表整體族群算是挺強勁</div>
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<img alt="" height="349" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180502180243121.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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(資料來源:<a href="https://www.cmoney.tw/finance/f00016.aspx?o=1&o2=3" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">CMONEY股市</a> ) ( 資料統計時間截至2018/4/20 )</div>
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除此之外,還能發現</div>
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2 月初大盤重挫時</div>
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被動元件相對抗跌</div>
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那麼,當大盤開始反彈時</div>
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被動元件股包括</div>
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國巨、禾伸堂及華新科 領先創高</div>
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也不用太意外了</div>
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<img alt="" height="621" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180502182343035.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006hzN" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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2. 籌碼也要強</h3>
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當然,要成為主流類股光是股價強還不夠</div>
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還必需要「有人」照顧才走得持久</div>
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那麼被動元件類股有符合嗎?</div>
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當然有!從盤後的「資金流量」來做觀察</div>
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早在 3/15 被動元件位居外資買超第二名</div>
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以及 投信買超第五名</div>
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在籌碼有人在顧之下,利於未來上漲</div>
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因此,如果您天天都有在追蹤資金流向</div>
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被動元件這波行情 應該不難掌握!</div>
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<img alt="" height="437" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180502180703948.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/006hzN" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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主流類股抓出 不是隔天馬上買</h3>
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由於目前大盤持續在年線附近弱勢整理</div>
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因此抓出主流類股後</div>
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當然不是隔天直接跳下去買</div>
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如果買點不夠好</div>
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就容易遇到像4/24華新科的創高回檔</div>
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比較聰明的做法應該是</div>
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將類股中技術面及籌碼面皆優的個股挑出</div>
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加入自選股,並設定 <span style="font-size: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=56742" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">關鍵點</a></strong> </span>再進場</div>
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或是等待量縮拉回再進場</div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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或許我們可以運用一些籌碼策略</div>
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快速挑出一籃子個股</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">但每天關注強弱勢類股/個股</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">仍是投資中重要的功課</strong></div>
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天天持續的關注除了提升您的盤感</div>
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更能將您的資金運用更有效率</div>
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因為您心裡有主流類股的底後</div>
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用籌碼策略挑出一籃子股票</div>
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也會優先挑選主流類股</div>
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增加操作勝率!</div>
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最後要再度強調的是</div>
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主流股的組成必需是<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「股價、籌碼雙強」</strong></div>
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缺一不可,不然就容易淪為一日行情</div>
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投資人看完文章後</div>
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不妨每天練習自行抓出主流類股</div>
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將手中持股汰弱留強</div>
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有時間的話,建議以日記方式寫下</div>
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相信會對您更有幫助!</div>
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<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">♗ </span>珍妮社團新開張</h3>
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每日限量 168 人加入<a data-cke-saved-href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" href="http://cmy.tw/006HLr" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">【</span>FB 社團<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">】</span> </a>!</h3>
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<a data-cke-saved-href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" href="https://goo.gl/m7Y4zh" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank"><span class="cke_widget_wrapper cke_widget_inline cke_widget_selected" contenteditable="false" data-cke-display-name="圖片" data-cke-filter="off" data-cke-widget-id="10" data-cke-widget-wrapper="1" style="display: inline-block; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: relative;" tabindex="-1"><img alt="" class="cke_widget_element" data-cke-saved-src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" data-cke-widget-data="{"hasCaption":false,"src":"https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg","alt":"","width":"374","height":"244","lock":true,"align":"none"}" data-cke-widget-keep-attr="0" data-cke-widget-upcasted="1" data-widget="image" height="244" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20170327161557058.jpg" style="border: 0px; cursor: default; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px;" width="374" /><span class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler_container" style="background: url("https://www.cmoney.tw/thirdparty/ckeditor/4.3.2/plugins/widget/images/handle.png") rgba(220, 220, 220, 0.5); height: 0px; left: 0px; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; opacity: 0.75; outline: none; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: -15px; transition: height 0s 0.2s; width: 15px;"><img class="cke_reset cke_widget_drag_handler" data-cke-widget-drag-handler="1" draggable="true" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: 15px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: none; padding: 0px; width: 15px;" title="拖曳以移動" width="15" /></span></span></a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-4677732097736184912018-04-09T17:59:00.000-07:002018-06-06T18:24:43.853-07:00營收選股大揭密!2 關鍵,創造年化報酬率 24.5%.. 遠勝大盤 3 倍!<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409205808246.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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營收暴增</h2>
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股價容易出現驚人漲幅</h2>
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每月 1 到 10 號</div>
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全市場最關注的就是</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">上市櫃公司陸續公佈的營收</strong></span></div>
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因為,企業獲利的基礎來自營收</div>
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如果一間公司營收暴增</div>
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則企業獲利能力也可能跟著暴增</div>
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股價也就容易出現驚人的漲幅</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">但營收該怎麼看呢?</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">Jenny 將透過回測數據告訴你</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">有效的「營收選股」因子有哪些..</strong><br />
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有效營收選股因子(1):</h2>
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月營收YOY > 20%</h2>
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首先,Jenny直接用大家熟悉的指標來測試</div>
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也就是 <strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">月營收YOY (月營收年成長率)</span></strong></div>
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以 3 月營收YOY 來說</div>
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代表 3 月營收 較去年3 月成長多少</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><a href="http://index.cmy.tw/2018/02/20.html" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">根據回測統計</a><span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">(換股時間:每月營收公告截止後,進行選股。於次日開盤,進行換股。)</span></span></strong></div>
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營收YOY>20% 年化報酬率高達 16.4%</h3>
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已經是大盤年化報酬 8.1% 的 2 倍以上</div>
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<img alt="" height="229" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409151227467.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="418" /></div>
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營收YOY>20% 搭配季線上</h3>
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年化報酬率攀升至 19%</h3>
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既然營收YOY > 20% 這因子相當有效</div>
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Jenny 再進一步搭配「季線之上」做篩選</div>
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就能繳出 12 年 709% 的好成績</div>
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年化報酬率% 攀升至 19% </div>
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<img alt="" height="396" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409152021999.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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有效營收選股因子(2):</h2>
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月營收YOY連 3 增</h2>
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緊接著,來測試Jenny常用的營收因子</div>
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月營收YOY連 3 增</div>
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為什麼想找出月營收YOY連 3 增的標的呢?</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">原因是一家真正走長多的公司</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">營收不會只有一兩個月是好的</strong></div>
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很多時候,會走一整年 甚至兩三年的</div>
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在營收穩定成長之下</div>
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股價當然也就容易穩定上漲了</div>
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榮成(1909)就是個好例子</div>
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營收YOY連 3 增,後來股價大漲一波</div>
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為了驗證這樣的選股邏輯</div>
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我立馬進行回測</div>
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仍然得到 12 年 639.8%的總報酬</div>
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年化報酬率 18.2%</div>
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遠遠戰勝大盤的 8.1%</div>
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<img alt="" height="397" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409154227326.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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<img alt="" height="108" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409154504740.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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組合 2 大營收有效因子</h2>
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年化報酬率攀升至 24.5%</h2>
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從上面 2 大營收因子的回測</div>
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我們可以得到</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">營收YOY>20% → 年化報酬率 16.4%</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">營收YOY>20% + 季線上 → 年化報酬率 19%</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">營收YOY連 3 增 → 18.2% </strong></div>
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皆遠勝大盤報酬 2 倍以上</div>
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不過,問題來了</div>
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光是單一營收選股條件</div>
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挑出來的股票,可能都超過 100 檔</div>
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如果要符合回測結果必須全部都買下才行</div>
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這樣在執行上,的確有些困難</div>
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因此,Jenny 結合 2 個有效營收因子</h3>
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再搭配以下條件做篩選:</h3>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">1. 月營收年成長 > 20%</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">2. 月營收YOY連3增</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">3. 季線之上</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">4. 5日均量 > 1000</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">5. 股價由低至高選取前 10名 </strong></div>
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同樣可以得到超越大盤的報酬</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">12 年 總報酬高達 1290%</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">年化報酬率達 24.5% </strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">績效比起只用營收單因子更猛!</strong></span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><img alt="" height="406" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409160428802.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></strong></div>
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<img alt="" height="110" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180409160612873.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="650" /></div>
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小結:</h2>
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如果你喜歡<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">有根據的選股邏輯</strong></div>
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也喜歡本文提供的 2 大營收有效因子</div>
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<span style="font-size: large; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px;">♗ </span>珍妮社團新開張</h3>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-25978306550574093352018-04-02T01:35:00.001-07:002018-04-02T01:37:23.002-07:00季報公布後,內行人都愛鎖定「這數據」!錯過了,少賺好幾根漲/跌停板!(含 X 檔清單)<h2 style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 26px; line-height: 1.3; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="425" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20151118181235176.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></h2>
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去年第四季財報全數公布</h2>
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上市櫃公司第四季財報將在3/31全數公布 </div>
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別以為公司股價早已反映財報數據</div>
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「每股淨值」這項財報數據的好壞 </div>
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財報公布一段期間後 股價才會反映喔</div>
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怎麼說呢?</div>
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首先,你必須了解個股的淨值變化</div>
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將影響其是否擁有「信用交易」或 打入「全額交割」</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">恢復「信用交易」或是 取消「全額交割」為重大利多</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">取消「信用交易」或是 打入「全額交割」為重大利空</strong></div>
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根據過去經驗,股價對於這項利多或利空</div>
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通常會在實施當天才會開始反應</div>
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因此利用財報與審閱公告的時間落差</div>
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就有機會賺取短線利潤</div>
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趕快來看看吧..</div>
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淨值低於 10 元的股票 將被取消「信用交易」</h2>
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取消信用交易的股票,就不能融資融券</h3>
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可以信用交易(融資融劵)的股票</div>
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如果淨值低於 10 元,那麼將被取消信用交易</div>
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如果淨值回升到 10 元以上,將會恢復信用交易</div>
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不論恢復或是停止信用交易</div>
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將會在財報公布後的 5 個工作天進行審核</div>
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而證交所將會公告,並於次一個工作天生效</div>
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以 Q4季報 3/31(六) 截止日為例</div>
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依此推估,將於 4/11(三) 公告</div>
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並將在次一工作天4/12(四)日正式生效</div>
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淨值低於 5 元 將遭打入「全額交割股」</h2>
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全額交割股,買賣更嚴格,要現金支付</h3>
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淨值低於 5 元的全額交割股,通常是很危險的警訊</div>
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萬一下市就沒救了</div>
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所以禁止信用交易,交易手續也比較麻煩</div>
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必須拿現金存入券商指定的帳戶,才能購買全額交割股</div>
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股票淨值低於 5 元將遭打入全額交割股</div>
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如果要脫離全額交割</div>
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則必須連續兩季的財報當中,每股淨值高於 5 元</div>
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且連續兩季股東權益高於 3 億元</div>
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一般流程是,證交所在收齊所有公司的季報後</div>
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在第一個工作天做形式審閱</div>
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並在該天審閱後公告,2 日後生效</div>
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<img alt="" height="286" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20151118181249848.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="552" /></div>
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遭取消「信用交易」或打入「全額交割」的股票</h2>
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股價容易連續跌停</h2>
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「全額交割」與「信用交易」關係到一檔股票投資是否受到限制</div>
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因此,每股淨值在 5、10 這兩個關鍵價位浮沈的公司</div>
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短線上股價容易產生大波動</div>
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遭取消「信用交易」或打入「全額交割」的股票</div>
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股價容易連續跌停</div>
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以 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2364" style="color: #005599; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">倫飛(2364)</a> 為例:</h3>
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被打入全額交割,股價連 4 根跌停</h3>
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<img alt="" height="413" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20150820114303575.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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(資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004EPW" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a>)</div>
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通常會陷入全額交割、取消信用交易的股票</div>
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基本上不適合拿來投資</div>
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但卻是投機的好題材喔</div>
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那該怎麼操作呢?</div>
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利用財報公布與審閱公告的時間差,進行多空操作獲利</h3>
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對股價而言,取消「信用交易」或是 打入「全額交割」是重大利空</div>
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反之,恢復「信用交易」或是 取消「全額交割」是重大利多</div>
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<img alt="" height="255" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/learn/127/20150212102531859.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="500" /></div>
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但是</div>
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財報公布 到 恢復/取消信用交易、全額交割 之間</h3>
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有 3 ~ 5 天時間差</h3>
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只要掌握這個原則,<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">利用財報與審閱公告的時間落差</strong></div>
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就能提早買進將恢復「信用交易」或是 取消「全額交割」的股票</div>
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或是 提早放空將取消「信用交易」或是 打入「全額交割」的股票</div>
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賺取短線利潤</div>
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<img alt="" height="207" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/learn/127/20150312114652568.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="719" /></div>
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16 檔可能取消「信用交易」</h2>
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為了快速從第四季季報中</div>
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挑出 可能被取消「信用交易」的股票</div>
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可以直接打開 <span style="font-size: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a></strong></span></div>
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利用以下 2 條件 就可以挑出來囉</div>
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條件1:去年Q4 公告每股淨值(元) < 10</h3>
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條件2:去年Q3 公告每股淨值(元) > 10</h3>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); border-collapse: collapse !important; border: 1px solid rgb(170, 170, 170); color: black; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px 0px 1em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: static; width: 435px;"><tbody style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; height: 42px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 89px;">股票代號/名稱</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 100px;">4/2收盤價</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 76px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">去年Q4公告每股淨值(元)</strong></td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 99px;">ㄑ去年Q3公告每股淨值(元)</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 71px;">近4季EPS</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8287" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">8287英格爾</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.11</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.34</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">15.35</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-20.79</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4965" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">4965商店街</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">47.00</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.63</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.18</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-32.21</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-1475" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">1475本盟</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">27.75</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.54</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">16.40</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-3.72</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2641" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2641正德</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.00</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.44</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.18</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-2.66</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6145" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">6145勁永</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.68</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.49</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.54</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-6.31</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6497" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">6497亞獅康-KY</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">55.00</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">8.09</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.64</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-9.29</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4109" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">4109穆拉德加捷</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">16.80</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">8.50</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.06</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-2.99</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2109" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2109華豐</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">15.35</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">8.51</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.51</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-2.62</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4142" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">4142國光生</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">19.20</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">8.97</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.35</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-3.27</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2528" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2528皇普</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">19.10</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.30</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.56</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.15</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6431" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">6431光麗-KY</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.60</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.31</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.76</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-3.48</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3230" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3230錦明</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.60</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.36</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.32</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.80</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4154" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">4154康樂-KY</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">23.75</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.43</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.22</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.97</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6276" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">6276安鈦克</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">16.95</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.56</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.09</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-0.89</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2740" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2740天蔥</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">33.75</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.89</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.71</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-4.58</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2516" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2516新建</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.36</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.99</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.17</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-2.39</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
(資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a>) </div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
註:<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">由「Q4 公告每股淨值(元)」低至高排序</strong>,點選個股可看個股資料</div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<br /></div>
<h2 style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 26px; line-height: 1.3; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
8 檔可能打入「全額交割」</h2>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
同樣地,想快速找出哪些股票可能打入「全額交割」</div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
直接打開 <span style="font-size: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a></strong></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
利用以下 2 個條件 就可以挑出來囉</div>
<h3 style="background-color: white; color: #ff6600; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1.5; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
條件1:去年Q4 公告每股淨值(元) < 5</h3>
<h3 style="background-color: white; color: #ff6600; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1.5; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
條件2:去年Q3 公告每股淨值(元) > 5</h3>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); border-collapse: collapse !important; border: 1px solid rgb(170, 170, 170); color: black; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px 0px 1em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: static; width: 423px;"><tbody style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; height: 42px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 79px;">股票代號/名稱</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 59px;">4/2收盤價</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">去年Q4公告每股淨值(元)</strong></td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 93px;">去年Q3 公告每股淨值(元)</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 52px;">近4季EPS</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 55px;">本益比</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8287" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">8287英格爾</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.11</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.34</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">15.35</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-20.79</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-4965" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">4965商店街</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">47.00</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.63</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.18</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-32.21</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3452" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3452益通</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.03</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.10</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.09</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-3.36</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8101" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">8101華冠</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">3.60</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.34</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.01</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.64</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3520" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3520振維</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">16.45</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.38</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.04</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.61</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3523" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3523迎輝</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.70</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.43</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.12</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.40</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.49</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3162" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3162精確</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">26.85</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.54</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.32</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.12</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3051" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3051力特</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.35</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.68</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">5.07</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-0.66</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
(資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a>) </div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
註:<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">由「Q4 公告每股淨值(元)」低至高排序</strong>,點選個股可看個股資料</div>
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11 檔可能恢復「信用交易」</h2>
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最後,還可以挑出哪些股票可能恢復「信用交易」</div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
直接打開 <span style="font-size: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a></strong></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
利用以下 2 個條件 就可以挑出來囉</div>
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條件1:去年Q4 公告每股淨值(元) > 10</h3>
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條件2:去年Q3 公告每股淨值(元) < 10</h3>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); border-collapse: collapse !important; border: 1px solid rgb(170, 170, 170); color: black; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px 0px 1em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: static; width: 525px;"><tbody style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; height: 42px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 99px;">股票代號/名稱</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;">4/2收盤價</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">去年Q4公告每股淨值(元)</strong></td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;">去年Q3公告每股淨值(元)</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;">近4季EPS</td><td style="background: rgb(221, 221, 221) !important; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center; width: 85px;">本益比</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8097" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">8097常珵</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">14.40</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.43</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.97</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">3.31</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">4.35</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-1742" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">1742台蠟</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">17.25</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">12.36</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.85</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">0.19</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">90.73</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-6101" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">6101寬魚國際</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">83.30</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">12.02</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.66</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">0.42</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">198.99</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-5383" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">5383金利</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">12.75</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.40</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.99</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-0.13</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2358" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2358廷鑫</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">21.75</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.19</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">7.43</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">0.36</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">59.64</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3312" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3312弘憶國際</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"> </td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.16</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">8.46</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"> </td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"> </td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3046" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">3046建碁</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">22.60</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">11.01</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">3.25</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-1.66</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2342" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2342茂矽</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">30.25</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.97</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.69</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-0.32</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">-</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-1201" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">1201味全</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">24.15</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.22</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.21</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">1.77</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">13.68</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8085" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">8085福華</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.23</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.14</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">9.24</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">0.04</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">148.59</td></tr>
<tr style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><td style="height: 21px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2614" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_parent">2614東森</a></td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">14.90</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">10.13</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">6.26</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">3.84</td><td style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 5px; position: relative; text-align: center;">3.88</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
(資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004T2l" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 25.5px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a>) </div>
<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
註:<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">由「Q4公告每股淨值(元)」高至低排序</strong>,點選個股可看個股資料</div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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趁著第四季 財報公布後</div>
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恢復、取消 信用交易或全額交割的審核時間差 </div>
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檢視一下股票清單的籌碼狀況</div>
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如果即將遭取消「信用交易」或打入「全額交割」的股票</div>
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主力也開始偷偷站在賣方</div>
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那麼,正式公告消息的當天就容易順勢下跌!</div>
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相反地,如果將恢復「信用交易」的股票</div>
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主力悄悄布局,</div>
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那麼,消息公布當天就容易順勢上漲了!</div>
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馬上打開 ►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/005zFf" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a></h3>
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主力同步介入的標的,操作勝率會提高許多喔</div>
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</h2>
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如果想學習更多選股技巧</h2>
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歡迎報名 → <a href="http://cmy.tw/006TIS" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">3/28(六)選股實戰班</a></h2>
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<a href="http://cmy.tw/006TIS" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="" height="626" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180401000916029.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="444" /></a></div>
珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-27907948399170832962018-03-22T06:55:00.000-07:002018-03-22T06:59:37.718-07:00看懂「外資成本線」,掌握波段進出「關鍵點」!(含 14 檔外資認養清單)<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="428" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322174745582.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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台股漲跌 由外資主導</h2>
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在股市已久的投資朋友</div>
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應該都親身經歷台股的 3 階段</div>
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從主力、實戶到法人時代</div>
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尤其,法人又以「外資」最具影響力</div>
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光是外資佔台股比重就超過 40 %</div>
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也難怪外資只要一有大動作</div>
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台股也會跟著出現大波動</div>
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從近年大盤走勢來看</div>
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也能明顯看出</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">外資是影響大盤漲跌重要的關鍵</strong><br />
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<a name='more'></a></div>
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<img alt="" height="529" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322134343102.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="716" /></div>
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既然外資對於盤勢的漲跌這麼關鍵</div>
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選股策略當然不能缺少「外資」這要角</div>
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今天 我就來介紹摸透外資底細的法寶</div>
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►► 外資成本線</h3>
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外資成本線</h2>
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主要用來判斷個股多空趨勢</h2>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當股票在外資成本線之上 → 大趨勢偏多</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當股票在外資成本線之下 → 大趨勢偏空</strong></div>
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「外資成本線」跟一般的均線(MA)一樣</div>
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能幫助我們判斷一檔股票的多空趨勢</div>
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然而,有別於均線統計「全市場」的成本</div>
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外資成本線主要統計「外資」的成本</div>
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外資習於順勢操作</h3>
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在成本線之上加碼,反之停損</h3>
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外資習於順勢的大波段操作</div>
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當一檔股票在「外資成本線」之上</div>
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代表外資幾乎都賺錢了</div>
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這時他們會繼續加碼</div>
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因此,容易推升股價繼續上漲</div>
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相反地 當股價跌破「外資成本線」</div>
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代表外資幾乎都套牢虧錢了</div>
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後續推升股價上漲的力道將減弱許多</div>
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尤其,外資對於停損也是十分快狠準</div>
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因此當股票破了「外資成本線」</div>
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後續往往造成連鎖效應,形成更大的賣壓</div>
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<img alt="" height="270" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322143752757.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="418" /></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">當外資持股比例超過 10%</strong></h2>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">「外資成本線」更具參考性</strong></h2>
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既然「外資成本線」主要是</div>
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用來判斷外資對個股的多空趨勢</div>
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那麼,觀察「外資成本線」之前</div>
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必須先確認該股票是不是「外資」所認養的!</div>
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然而,怎樣才算是「外資」認養呢?</div>
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其實這一點都不難</div>
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只要用「外資持股比率」這個指標來判斷即可</div>
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當「外資持股比率」超過 10 % 以上</div>
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外資的進出對股價就有一定的影響力</div>
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就可視其為「外資」認養的股票</div>
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以外資持股比例高的 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2354" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">聯發科(2454) </a>為例</h2>
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從下面聯發科(2454)的日線圖來看</div>
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在外資持股比率高達 57.9%之下</div>
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「外資成本線」對股價趨勢有相當大的影響力</div>
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當股價在「外資成本線」之上 → 趨勢偏多</h3>
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當股價在「外資成本線」之下 → 趨勢翻空</h3>
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<img alt="" height="505" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322152955005.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /> </div>
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當趨勢轉變 </h3>
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需留意是否為「假跌破」或「假突破」</h3>
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不過這邊要特別留意</div>
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股價跌破外資成本線代表趨勢由多翻空</div>
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股價突破外資成本線代表趨勢由空翻多</div>
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然而,大趨勢的扭轉通常沒這麼容易</div>
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跌破外資成本線時 往往出現低接買盤</div>
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突破外資成本線時 往往出現過去套牢的賣壓</div>
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容易出現「假跌破」或「假突破」的情況</div>
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<img alt="" height="499" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322152929821.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="819" /></div>
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因此,股價跌破或突破外資成本線</div>
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想放空或買進,盡量少量試單</div>
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謹慎一點,應觀察 3~5 天</div>
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確認股價真正跌破或突破外資成本線再進場</div>
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<img alt="" height="207" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/687772/20170901131408227.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="240" /><img alt="" height="15" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw%3D%3D" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="15" /></div>
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此外,我們也可以發現</div>
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鴻準(2354) 在外資成本線之上時,趨勢偏多</div>
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因此,股價拉回到外資成本線附近都是買點</div>
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而當鴻準(2354) 在外資成本線之下時,趨勢偏空 </div>
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因此,股價反彈到外資成本線附近都是空點</div>
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當股價在「外資成本線」之上 → 拉回是買點</h3>
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當股價在「外資成本線」之下 → 反彈是空點</h3>
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<img alt="" height="501" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322162144595.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="819" /></div>
<h2 style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 26px; line-height: 1.3; margin: 0px 0px 0.5em; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
</h2>
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善用外資成本線進場的3大案例</h2>
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案例1:<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2454?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">聯發科 (2454) </a>– 拉回買點</h3>
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當股價在外資成本線之上時</div>
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代表股價長線趨勢偏多</div>
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因此,當股價拉回外資成本線附近時</div>
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反而可以勇敢地買進</div>
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通常會是一個很棒的長線買點</div>
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<img alt="" height="706" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322163017612.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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</h3>
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案例2:<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-8086?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">宏捷科(8086)</a> – 突破買點</h3>
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當股價在外資成本線之下突破</div>
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代表趨勢由空翻多</div>
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可嘗試投入1/3 資金試單</div>
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不一次買滿的原因是</div>
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當趨勢由空翻多時,</div>
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很多時候,股價會先經過一陣多空交戰</div>
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舉例來說,宏捷科 10/25 雖然突破外資成本線</div>
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但經過幾天震盪後再度跌破成本線</div>
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如果一下子就買滿,遇到「假突破」</div>
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停損也是會損失不少手續費...</div>
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因此,如果遇到股票突破外資成本線</div>
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僅投入1/3 資金,運氣好的話就能像11/17一樣</div>
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買在相對低點,風險也相對低</div>
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<img alt="" height="714" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322164149532.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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</h3>
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案例3:<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-2231?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">為升(2231)</a> – 突破買點(較佳)</h3>
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當股價在外資成本線之下突破</div>
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代表趨勢由空翻多</div>
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但有時候,會出現一些解套賣壓</div>
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所以股價容易出現震盪拉回的狀況</div>
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因此,以為升(2231)來說</div>
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4/18 股價第一次突破外資成本線時</div>
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想買進的話,最好投入資金1/3就好</div>
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這樣的好處是</div>
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就算未來遇到股價壓回整理</div>
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停損壓力也不會太大</div>
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反而,5/16 拉回外資成本線測試支撐後</div>
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再過前高 是比較好的買點</div>
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較能確認股價站穩外資成本線之上</div>
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<img alt="" height="712" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322164735966.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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由於外資傾向波段操作</div>
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當外資看好一檔股票</div>
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通常會沿路加碼</div>
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反之,當外資發現一檔股票前景轉差</div>
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賣股也一點都不手軟</div>
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套用最近偏多的行情</div>
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想做多,可以利用以上選股邏輯</div>
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挑出股價離外資成本還不太遠的股票:)</div>
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14檔 「外資認養股」<img alt="" height="497" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180322172609235.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; font-size: 18px; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></h3>
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</div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-55090742022806881502018-03-13T06:23:00.000-07:002019-01-08T07:30:25.624-08:002月營收大解密<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1. 大盤概況</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2. 營收獲利法</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "microsoft jhenghei"; font-size: 16pt; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3. 選股條件分享</span></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-75344997722813360632018-02-23T00:40:00.000-08:002018-02-23T00:41:19.898-08:00連續 6 年 3 月份 上漲機率 100%<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF1wQG3ObwWGT_MPw5rhsqIH6X1krNlxaeAlENcOpi-2zxJbRGtvEjXWKjxa-kgZSznNRp81s0R_2NQixyPucYS3L7QWfEFflhZ6GrR22NW8HzM98mfgdECH4oZ0wlaZ-54cZ61TqO10c/s1600/%25E5%259C%2596%25E7%2589%25875.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1200" data-original-width="1600" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF1wQG3ObwWGT_MPw5rhsqIH6X1krNlxaeAlENcOpi-2zxJbRGtvEjXWKjxa-kgZSznNRp81s0R_2NQixyPucYS3L7QWfEFflhZ6GrR22NW8HzM98mfgdECH4oZ0wlaZ-54cZ61TqO10c/s640/%25E5%259C%2596%25E7%2589%25875.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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再過 2 個交易日,就要邁入 3 月</div>
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每到月中 ~ 月底期間</div>
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我習慣提早研究</div>
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歷年大盤漲跌及類股漲跌機率</div>
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以及 哪些股票在下個月特別容易漲<br />
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今天,觀察 類股月漲跌機率 發現</div>
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台股歷年 3 月上漲機率達80%,平均漲幅2.83%</div>
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看到這樣的數據..其實不會太意外</div>
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因為 3 月份向來是公布最新「配息」的高峰期</div>
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年年穩定配發高股息的公司</div>
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法人大戶喜歡提前卡位布局</div>
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造成配息公布前後 出現大行情</div>
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底下公布連續6年3月份必漲股</div>
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大家就搭配籌碼K線研究看看吧~</div>
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前往 籌碼練功房 ►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/005f4A" rel="noopener nofollow" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">http://cmy.tw/005f4A</a></div>
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掌握第一手資訊 ►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/005osT" rel="noopener nofollow" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">http://cmy.tw/005osT</a></div>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-59949043112106213902018-02-07T23:57:00.001-08:002018-02-07T23:58:42.705-08:00台股日崩跌逾 500 點,反彈常常成為逃命!24 檔「高融資」危險股,希望你手中沒有..<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, 微軟正黑體, 細明體; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 0.5em; max-height: inherit; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative;">
<img alt="" height="426" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180208150329731.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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台股崩跌危機尚未解除</h2>
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高融資股 記得避開</h2>
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即將封關過年,台灣卻好不平靜</div>
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連日寒流、地震不止</div>
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台股受美股狂瀉逾千點影響</div>
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更是 2 個交易日崩跌 722 點</div>
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直接吃掉 12 月底以來的漲幅<br />
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2/6(二) 台股 542 點的重挫</div>
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市場恐慌氛圍加劇</div>
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在多殺多的情況下</div>
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當日融資就爆減了 75億</div>
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帶動融資維持率降至本波新低 151%</div>
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<img alt="" height="550" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180208131555881.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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眼看 2/6 跳空缺口壓力沉重</div>
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未來一旦反彈無力再破底</div>
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新一波融資停損賣壓將來臨</div>
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不想要資產縮水的投資人</div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">務必避開高融資的弱勢股..</strong></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">( 追蹤我的粉絲團►►<a href="https://goo.gl/fy1f6s" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">珍妮愛投資</a><a href="https://goo.gl/ipkBxa" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"> </a>)</span></strong></div>
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「高融資股」斷頭慌 易出現賣壓</h2>
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當股價下跌的時候</div>
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由於融資戶的槓桿倍數比較高</div>
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因此,跟一般持股人相比</div>
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會面臨更大的資產縮水危機</div>
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而且融資屬於信用交易</div>
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有 還錢的壓力 和「斷頭」的風險</div>
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因此,「融資使用率」較高的股票</div>
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在股市大跌時,會潛藏了極大的賣壓</div>
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造成股價進一步下跌</div>
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<img alt="" src="http://fsv.money01.com.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/142204/20150709140809126.png" height="231" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="529" /></div>
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「融資維持率低」股價岌岌可危</h2>
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除了超高融資股之外</div>
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我們還可以從 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=6164" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">融資維持率</a> 來檢查</div>
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哪些股票面臨了「斷頭」風險?</div>
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從 104 年 5 月 4 日起,</div>
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信用交易的整戶擔保維持率由 120% 提高至 130%</div>
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因此, 130% 是政府規定的最低融資維持率</div>
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一旦融資維持率小於 130%</div>
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勢必就得面臨「斷頭」的危機</div>
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一般來說,當你的整戶維持率降到 138% 時</div>
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你就會接到營業員的提醒電話了</div>
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因為 股價距離斷頭危機僅一步之遙</div>
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部分散戶會選擇先自我了斷</div>
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因此,當 <a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=6164" style="color: #0077b5; line-height: 23.1818px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">融資維持率</a> 降到 140% 以下</div>
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股票就開始出現多殺多的警報</div>
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「高融資」+「低融資維持率」股有哪些?</h2>
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為了快速從茫茫股海中挑出</div>
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於是,我馬上打開底下這個法寶來選股</div>
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►► <a href="http://cmy.tw/004aNm" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a></h3>
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<a href="http://cmy.tw/004TIt" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"><img alt="選股勝利組文中 20141212" src="http://fsv.money01.com.tw/cmstatic/app/images/ads/ad3AB6332A2.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" /></a></div>
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只需要利用底下 2 個條件:</div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">條件 1:融資使用率(%) > 30%</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">指標 2:融資維持率(%) < 140%</strong></span></div>
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就可挑出 24 檔「高融資」+「低融資維持率」危險股</div>
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<img alt="" height="541" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180208141931099.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004aNm" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">選股勝利組</a> )</div>
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註:<strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股票依照「2/6融資維持率(%)」由高至低排序</strong></div>
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以<a href="http://www.cmoney.tw/follow/channel/stock-3406?chart=d" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">玉晶光(3406)</a>為例:</h3>
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主力狂賣、融資減 股價持續修正</h3>
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從下圖可以看到,</div>
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在股票清單中的玉晶光(3406)</div>
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12月初反彈至季線附近壓力沉重</div>
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當時融資使用率高達 67%</div>
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主力一路主要站在賣方</div>
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融資也一路下降</div>
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主力用融資悄悄出貨跡象明顯</div>
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這樣的股票</div>
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一旦遇到股災</div>
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更容易發生多殺多的現象</div>
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<span style="font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">股價也就跟著跌一段</span></div>
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<img alt="" height="758" src="https://fsv.cmoney.tw/cmstatic/notes/capture/128019/20180208134633093.png" style="border: 0px; display: inline-block; height: auto !important; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" width="820" /></div>
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( 資料來源:<a href="http://cmy.tw/004SPs" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼K線</a> )</div>
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快速結論:</h2>
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2/6 台股 542 點的重挫 逼出 75 億融資</div>
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儘管跌深容易出現反彈</div>
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但根據近 11 次台股跌 500 點行情表(下圖)來看</div>
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儘管短線有可能出現反彈行情</div>
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但事後來看,反彈常常成為逃命波</div>
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因此,在大盤還沒突破 2/6 跳空缺口前</div>
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降低持股水位是比較安全的做法</div>
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尤其,「高融資」股務必避開</div>
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學籌碼就到 →<a href="http://cmy.tw/005en9" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank"> </a><a href="http://cmy.tw/005en9" style="color: #0077b5; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" target="_blank">籌碼 K 的家</a></h2>
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挖掘各種飆股「起漲現象」!</h2>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">曾經...我也對籌碼懵懂無知</strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: larger; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><strong style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">直到我找到-這一個家</strong></span></div>
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免責宣言</h2>
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珍妮愛投資http://www.blogger.com/profile/09267347734537924024noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5194808274105451804.post-83528579717317328942018-01-26T21:17:00.000-08:002018-01-26T21:17:03.590-08:00本週最新『大戶接、散戶拋』清單<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHavzzbcuYjtOsk0tSd-O5FU46uMDd5ZfRSuLsCLYB-ngw5ZMKn8r5Iwp_ELGPLOmvBtfU6vtImtWpX0fgUZVTZoumEWZNoWS4JUvzKtSjX14QoCngDiCi_o7OumFJlCNtjGnBnZrEYLI/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2018-01-27+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25881.13.57.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="654" data-original-width="1106" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHavzzbcuYjtOsk0tSd-O5FU46uMDd5ZfRSuLsCLYB-ngw5ZMKn8r5Iwp_ELGPLOmvBtfU6vtImtWpX0fgUZVTZoumEWZNoWS4JUvzKtSjX14QoCngDiCi_o7OumFJlCNtjGnBnZrEYLI/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2018-01-27+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25881.13.57.png" /></a></div>
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<h3 dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #404040; font-family: "microsoft yahei", merriweather, "open sans", sans-serif; font-size: 1.8em; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.8; margin: 0pt 0px 8pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #ff6600; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">最新「大戶接、散戶拋」清單出爐囉!快收下吧 😙</span></h3>
<h3 dir="ltr" style="background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #404040; font-family: "microsoft yahei", merriweather, "open sans", sans-serif; font-size: 1.8em; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 2.04; margin: 0pt 0px 8pt; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #ff6600; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">用法請參考 👉 </span><span style="background-color: transparent; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0077b5; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-style: inherit; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><a href="https://jennykao412.blogspot.tw/2017/09/x.html" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #bc2605; font-family: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;" target="_blank">看懂「股權分散表」,週週掌握 送分題!</a></span></h3>
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